Political Insider blog 

AJC blog about Atlanta politics, Georgia politics, Georgia and metro Atlanta election campaigns

First poll since ethics case revival gives Jason Carter edge over Nathan Deal

  • 7:00 am Friday, July 18th, 2014 by Greg Bluestein

Our corporate cousins over at WSB-TV released a poll that gives Democrat Jason Carter the edge over Republican Gov. Nathan Deal.

Poll crosstabs give Deal a nine-point advantage with male voters, but find women support Carter by a nearly 2-to-1 margin. Carter also has the edge among black voters and those under 40. Interestingly, independents – who tend to lean to the right – are split between the two.

There’s a high possibility that Carter is benefiting from a media bubble, given the timing of the survey. But we’re sure he’ll take it.

***

An InsiderAdvantage survey conducted for Morris News Service, WAGA-TV in [More]

When it comes to college tuition hikes, Georgia gets silver

  • 9:55 am Thursday, June 19th, 2014 by Daniel Malloy, Greg Bluestein and Jim Galloway

Looks like Georgia’s unofficial state motto, “Deo gratias, quia Mississippi,” needs updating. Only in New Mexico, where net tuition and fees rose a remarkable 188 percent, did state officials shift the cost of college from government to students more than legislators in Georgia. Here, net tuition revenue per student went up by 93 percent as legislators cut education appropriations and reduced the value of the HOPE Scholarship many students depend on for college expenses…

Even though Georgia students pay a lot more in tuition now than five years ago, the average tuition paid by a full-time Georgia student, $4,484, is still [More]

Jack Kingston: No ‘discussion of a felon’ during May meeting on campaign cash

  • 9:19 am Friday, June 13th, 2014 by Greg Bluestein, Daniel Malloy and Jim Galloway

Jack Kingston, frontrunner in the GOP runoff for U.S. Senate, this morning said that a May 1 meeting with an attorney, who claims he informed the Kingston campaign that foreign national with a criminal past had illegally bundled $80,000 for his Senate bid, never included “any discussion of a felon.”

The Savannah congressman made the remarks in an interview this morning with Martha Zoller and Tim Bryant on WGAU (1340AM) in Athens. Afterwards, Kingston made similar remarks in another radio interview on 106.7FM.

Kingston was responding to this morning’s AJC article by Chris Joyner. Here’s the top:

An Atlanta attorney claims he [More]

At the apex of GOP’s reign, primary turnout continues to sink

  • 9:36 am Friday, May 30th, 2014 by Jim Galloway

Earlier this week, Secretary of State Brian Kemp confirmed what his website had already told us – that turnout for the May 20 primary was dismal. Under 20 percent.

But what was significant was where it was dismal. Cobb County remained the lead GOP factory for votes, generating 50,494. But that was down 23 percent from the 2004 GOP primary for U.S. Senate that featured Johnny Isakson, Herman Cain and Mac Collins.

Gwinnett County turned out 40,845 votes – a 27 percent drop in turnout from the 2004 primary. Fulton County’s 35,775 Republican votes were down 21 percent.

Statewide, the 2014 turnout for [More]

Polls show Cobb County voters want Braves closer, but don’t want to pay for the move

  • 9:49 am Wednesday, May 14th, 2014 by Greg Bluestein, Daniel Malloy and Jim Galloway

With a primary vote only days away, a pair of polls commissioned by an anonymous group of Atlanta business interests has found that voters in the northern half of Cobb County – who are about to weigh in on two county commission races – like the idea of the Braves moving closer.

But they have no interest in paying taxes to move the team across the Chattahoochee River.

The polls were handed to us by Rick Dent of Lincoln Park Strategies, who would only describe the people behind them as having “regional economic development interests.”

One poll examines the opinions of 400 voters [More]

What Barack Obama and Nathan Deal share: A 44% approval rating in Georgia

  • 3:39 pm Sunday, May 11th, 2014 by Jim Galloway

Forty-four percent. You can’t help but notice the coincidence.

President Barack Obama and Gov. Nathan Deal earned equally low approval ratings in this weekend’s Journal-Constitution poll. Not from the same Georgians, of course.

Click here for many, many more details from the survey. But the paired approval ratings may be among the more important, if only because they point to the November vulnerabilities of each party.

We have seen – are seeing now, in the current primary – Republicans demonize President Barack Obama. But a 44 percent approval rating also makes Deal ripe for a broad Democratic paintbrush after May 20.

One key [More]

A poll, and then an awkward sales pitch

  • 5:41 pm Thursday, May 1st, 2014 by Jim Galloway

The problem with modern polling is that it has become so inexpensive (in relative terms) and commonplace, monetization of the work product has become difficult. And attempts to find new paths occasionally stray into awkward territory.

Matt Towery, CEO of InsiderAdvantage, is a former state lawmaker and longtime member of Georgia’s political scene. Just today, he collaborated with WAGA-TV on a U.S. Senate poll that puts Republican Karen Handel in second place – behind businessman David Perdue, but ahead of Jack Kingston.

A few weeks ago, Towery’s Atlanta polling outfit took the temperature of the Republican primary for House District [More]

Democratic Party has slight trust edge in Georgia poll

  • 9:06 am Wednesday, April 23rd, 2014 by Greg Bluestein, Daniel Malloy and Jim Galloway

There’s lots to dig into from this State of the State

About 51% of whites polled said they trusted the Republican Party, and only 24.6% of whites trusted the Democratic Party. But 77.9% of blacks supported the Democrats, and only 9.3% of blacks backed the GOP. Hispanic voters, a fast-growing part of the Georgia electorate, were split, with 30.4% backing the GOP and 29.9% backing the Democratic Party. Almost 40% of Hispanics polled supported third parties.

The Democratic advantage is within the poll’s margin of error.

More interesting numbers: Gov. Nathan Deal is the most trusted Republican, with 16.7 percent tapping him. [More]

Gallup poll: Georgians not ready to revolt over taxes

  • 10:03 am Wednesday, April 9th, 2014 by Jim Galloway, Greg Bluestein and Daniel Malloy

Gov. Nathan Deal has been pummeled with bad news the last week, but the Gallup polling organization offers the Republican incumbent some respite this morning.

In terms of overall dissatisfaction, Georgia ranked No. 20 – essentially in the middle of the pack, and not the stuff that Republican primary revolutions are made of.

New Yorkers (77 percent said levies were too high) were the most dissatisfied. Residents of Wyoming (19 percent) were the least.

Most other Southern states ranked below Georgia on the taxpayer-angst scale: Virginia (No. 21), South Carolina (No. 25), Mississippi (No. 28), Tennesee (No. 33), Alabama (No. 34) and Florida [More]

New Cobb County commission map segregates voters, senator charges

  • 9:21 am Friday, March 14th, 2014 by Jim Galloway

A bill that will redraw district lines for the Cobb County Commission is an attempt to maintain GOP influence by segregating black and white voters, a white state senator from Marietta is charging.

State Sen. Steve Thompson, the Democrat from Marietta, notes that the legislation takes 11,000 minority voters out of District 2 (South Cobb), represented by Republican Bob Ott, and places them in District 4 (Southwest Cobb), represented by Democrat Lisa Cupid.

The shift will have the effect of limiting African-American voting influence to a single district in the county for the foreseeable future, Thompson said.

Some powerful paragraphs from Jon [More]