The election for Georgia’s governor is almost two years away, but the behind-the-scenes race is well underway. No major candidate is in the race yet to replace Gov. Nathan Deal – who cannot run for another term in 2018 – but top contenders are already gearing up.
Below is an early look at some of the top players to watch – with a big caveat. Few outside of Georgia’s political circles had heard of David Perdue before he announced his bid for U.S. Senate in 2013, and there’s no telling whether another outsider could shake up the race.
With that said, here goes:
Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle
Details: The Gainesville Republican was first elected to the state Senate in 1994 at the age of 28, becoming the youngest member of the chamber. He scored an upset victory against Ralph Reed in 2006 for Georgia’s No. 2 job, and has twice won re-election bids by hefty margins. He briefly considered a 2010 bid for governor and is considered the Republican to beat in 2018.
Status: Almost certain to run. The 50-year-old has written a book on education, championed a mix of conservative-friendly policies and school initiatives and tried to establish himself as the presumptive frontrunner after Donald Trump’s victory.
Secretary of State Brian Kemp
Details: A former state senator, the Athens Republican was appointed by Gov. Sonny Perdue as the state’s top elections official in 2010 and won his first of two four-year terms later that year. Kemp, 53, has tried to score political points by railing against left-leaning groups that accused his office of voter suppression; he could be hobbled by the 2015 accidental disclosure of voter data.
Status: He may run, though he could also eye the lieutenant governor’s race or stick with his current job.
Former Rep. Jack Kingston
Details: Once the embodiment of a Washington insider – the Savannah Republican served 11 terms in Congress – Kingston has tried to remake himself after his narrow loss to David Perdue in the GOP primary in 2014 for an open U.S. Senate seat. He joined a lobbying firm and became one of Donald Trump’s top surrogates, constantly pushing an outsider-themed message in interviews and on the airwaves.
Status: He may run, though it seems unlikely.
Outgoing Rep. Lynn Westmoreland
Details: One of the most colorful personalities in Georgia politics, the Coweta County Republican set off a wave of speculation when he announced he wouldn’t run for another term in office. The six-term congressman has a long history of remarkably candid comments, and he’s made it crystal-clear that he’s considering a run for governor.
Status: He may run, and the 66-year-old is embarking on a “reconnect tour” to sound out a return to office. Some who are close to him, though, say he’s unlikely to run.
State Sen. Burt Jones
Details: A former standout Georgia football player, Jones was elected to the state Senate from a middle Georgia district in 2012. He was one of the first state elected officials to back Trump’s campaign, and he has deep pockets: His family owns the Jones Petroleum conglomerate.
Status: He may run, and he’s told friends he’s undecided. He could also set his sights on lieutenant governor or other statewide office.
Former Gov. Sonny Perdue
Details: Georgia’s first Republican governor since Reconstruction, Perdue upset Roy Barnes in 2002 ahead of a GOP resurgence in Georgia. Since leaving office in 2010, he’s long been rumored to consider a comeback bid and is a leading contender to be Trump’s ag chief.
Status: Unlikely. Perdue has dodged questions about his political future, but his family’s formidable political network has searched for other potential candidates.
State Sen. Michael Williams
Details: The Cumming Republican and businessman owned a chain of haircut franchises before he was elected on an outsider’s platform in 2014, and was the first state elected official to endorse Trump. He eyed the Secretary of State’s office before Trump’s win; now he could be considering higher office.
Status: Don’t rule him out, though he could also run for a down-ticket office.
U.S. Sen. David Perdue
Details: The former Fortune 500 chief executive swept to victory over Democrat Michelle Nunn in 2014 on the strength of his outsider message, and he was Trump’s most enthusiastic high-profile Georgia supporter during the 2016 campaign.
Status. Very doubtful. Although there are persistent rumors that he’s frustrated at the U.S. Senate’s pace, he’s said he will stay in office with Trump’s victory.
House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams
Details: A darling of the national media, the 43-year-old Atlanta Democrat is often seen as a leading voice for the party in the South. As the head of the Democratic caucus in the state House, she’s known to work with Republicans rather than outright oppose GOP initiatives. The voter registration group she founded, the New Georgia Project, aims to register hundreds of thousands of left-leaning voters; it has come under scrutiny for its tactics and results.
Status: She’s all but certain to run and her supporters are pushing to clear the field.
Former state Sen. Jason Carter
Details: The 41-year-old attorney was the Democratic nominee for governor in 2014, and he attracted a wave of national attention and fundraising. After he was defeated by Gov. Nathan Deal, Carter made clear his political career had only just begun. The question now facing Carter, a grandson of former President Jimmy Carter, is whether to enter run this year – or wait until the next decade to wage another campaign.
Status. He may run, though it seems unlikely.
Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed
Details: Reed built a national profile as a two-term Atlanta mayor, and is a prominent voice in the national Democratic Party’s future. He was considered a surefire potential pick to join Hillary Clinton’s administration, and he was one of her top surrogates throughout her campaign.
Status: Highly, highly doubtful. The 47-year-old has said repeatedly that while he’s “got another campaign in me,” he won’t be running in 2018.
Former Rep. John Barrow
Details: The six-term Congressman from Athens was known as the “last white Democrat in the Deep South” before his 2014 defeat to Republican Rick Allen. After a visiting professorship at the University of Georgia, though lately he’s caused a stir in Democratic circles by showing up at a range of political gatherings.
Status: Not likely. He said “he’s not running for anything at the moment.” Also, don’t count him out as a contender for Attorney General, which Democrats hope to pick off next year.
Columbus Mayor Teresa Tomlinson
Details: The 51-year-old attorney is the first female mayor of Columbus, and her supporters see her as a fresh face who could appeal to working-class white voters and the party’s traditional base.
Status: Don’t bet on it. She said she has no plans to seek higher office, adding that she’s the “full-time mayor of Columbus and that’s all I think about.”
Libertarian Doug Craig
Details: A veteran of the Gulf War who operated nuclear reactors for the U.S. Navy, Craig runs a sheet-metal fabricator shop in Atlanta’s southside. As former chair of Georgia’s Libertarian Party, he backed the failed candidacies of Andrew Hunt for governor and Amanda Swafford for Senate.
Status: He’s running. He became the first candidate to formally jump in the race in August 2015, promising to be a third-party contender with a “strong message, not a watered down message.”