Donald Trump is tempting us into another round of that favorite board game, “Will Georgia Turn Blue?”
But the people over at Landmark Communications, a GOP-oriented firm, are urging caution after conducting a substantial two-day poll of 1,400 likely Georgia voters – on the firm’s own dime.
Think of this as the first of many surveys to come rather than the last word. The bottom line:
Despite universal condemnation for remarks about women made in a 2005 video that surfaced last week, Republican Donald Trump continues to lead Democrat Hillary Clinton by a margin, 48 to 42 percent, in Georgia.
“Despite taking on some negative publicity, …Trump has continued to maintain his level of support here in Georgia,” said Jordan Fuchs, Landmark vice president. Catch the crosstabs here:
In the U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Johnny Isakson now leads Democrat Jim Barksdale by a 50 to 37 percent. Five percent of voters say they plan to vote for Libertarian candidate Allen Buckley.
That’s significant: Isakson needs to get past the 50 percent mark in order to avoid a nine-week runoff. “It appears that the Barksdale campaign has grinded to a halt, while Senator Isakson’s campaign has solidified his vote,” Fuchs said.
The difference between performances by Isakson and Trump in Georgia? Isakson leads among women by one percentage point, 44 to 43 percent, while Trump is losing among women voters by nine percentage points, 40 to 49 percent. Find the details here:
The poll is a little high (62 percent) on presumed white turnout, but about right on African-American representation (32 percent). The survey also has 50 percent Republican identifiers compared to 37 percent Democratic and 7 percent independent.