Georgia Democrats have just needed a good push in Georgia to turn the state competitive again, Stacey Abrams said Wednesday night on MSNBC. And Donald Trump is going to deliver, the minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives said.
In an interview with Chris Hayes, Abrams said:
“The demography has been leading us in this direction for quite some time and Trump is just the fuel we needed to accelerate our progress. He has had an extraordinary ability to unify every community that opposes him.”
You can see the full video below, which features the erudite Abrams walking Hayes through some series statistical lessons on voter registration and turnout.
Abrams also claims that House Democrats are likely to flip three seats in the Legislature’s lower chamber this year and possibly up to seven. She did not name those seats and her spokeswoman did not immediately respond to a request for clarification on Thursday.
Update 3:03 p.m.: An aide to Abrams responded. While they will not say specifically which seats they’ve targeted, they would say: “We’ve recruited, trained, and are working strategically to help provide comprehensive support for several races where demographic shifts and the Democratic performance index show a path to victory. With statewide voter contact and mobilization efforts we’re encouraged by our prospects.”
Original post continues:
Abrams’ appearance on the show preceded by a few hours the release of yet another poll showing Georgia firmly in the mix of battleground states.
Gravis Marketing has been hired by the uber-conservative Breitbart.com to handle general election polling this year. It’s poll of Georgia voters found Trump leading in Georgia over Hillary Clinton 45 percent to 44 percent, within the claimed margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.
Here’s the requisite caveat: Breitbart is obviously a hard-right website. As with any overtly partisan organization, add a grain of salt to your consideration of any poll produced on its behalf. Second caveat: Neither Breitbart nor Gravis has released crosstabs of the poll showing methodology, etc.
That said, according to fivethirtyeight.com’s ranking of pollsters, Gravis is a full letter grade less accurate than the pollster that produced this survey for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution last week that showed Clinton ahead here 44-40. But Gravis is also rated as being a full letter better than the organization that released a poll earlier this week showing Clinton ahead by 7 in Georgia.