Posted: 1:44 pm Monday, July 14th, 2014

PPP poll gives Jack Kingston edge over David Perdue in GOP Senate runoff 

By Greg Bluestein

David Perdue (left) and Jack Kingston, Republican candidates for U.S. Senate, answer questions from panelists as Dennis O'Hayer moderates during a Sunday debate sponsored by the Atlanta Press Club. AJC/Jonathan Phillips

David Perdue (left) and Jack Kingston, Republican candidates for U.S. Senate, answer questions from panelists as Dennis O’Hayer moderates during a Sunday debate sponsored by the Atlanta Press Club. AJC/Jonathan Phillips

A poll by the left-of-center Public Policy Polling firm of North Carolina  gives U.S. Rep. Jack Kingston of Savannah the edge over businessman David Perdue in next week’s closely-watched GOP Senate runoff.

The automated survey, commissioned by Better Georgia, has Kingston with 47 percent among Republican voters and Perdue trailing with 41 percent. The remainder are undecided.

The poll involved a July 9-12 survey of 516 Republicans who said they would “definitely” cast ballots in the July 22 primary runoff. You can find the crosstabs here, but the poll also found that almost half of the respondents describe themselves as “very conservative.”

PPP also did a separate poll of 664 Georgia voters that found Kingston trailed Democrat Michelle Nunn in the Senate contest 44 percent to 41 percent, and Perdue behind her by a slightly larger margin: 48 percent to 41 percent.

It also found Gov. Nathan Deal in a statistical deadlock with his challenger, state Sen. Jason Carter, with Deal at 41 percent and Carter at 40 percent. Libertarian Andrew Hunt was at 8 percent. Deal’s approval rating was pegged at 40 percent, and his disapproval rating at 42 percent.

The gubernatorial crosstabs are right here, along with several questions involving Deal’s stance on healthcare and his sale of a salvage yard.

The margin of error for both polls is about 4 percent.

25 comments
Laurie1113
Laurie1113

Good news to know.  I'll cast my vote next week for Perdue to help put my girl in better standing to win in November.  :)

DohBee
DohBee

"Perdue" is a scientific term denoting the amount of vegetables you can raise in 1 standard measurement of cow dung.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

The demographics of the poll show that dirty deal has lost his base of old white people, along with the given that he--along with every other repuppy-- has lost the Female vote.  I imagine everyone of them, deal perdue and kingston, are reaching for their Maalox right now. The breakdown of respondents:


White--.68%

Over 45-- 70%  

Moderate to Very Conservative-- 88%  

R or I---65% 



Kamchak
Kamchak

EdUktionless-poo and his HuffPo poll in 3...2...1....

td1234
td1234

The numbers on Kingston and Perdue are close to what I have been hearing in my informal (within the Republican party) talks. 


8% Libertarian vote in the governors race is about what it was 4 years ago at this time and all but 1% voted for Deal so the predictions of Deal winning by 5 to 10 points is still right on track. 

NWGAL
NWGAL

The Senate polls with Nunn don't matter much until after the run off. But I am surprised Kingston isn't leading by more given all the anti Perdue ads on TV and his really long list of endorsements. Maybe there really is some resentment against incumbents.

DS
DS

Interesting results, and tight races. Thanks for posting this, Greg.

NWGAL
NWGAL

Huffington Post merely posts poll results from other sources, just as this blog on AJC does.

RadicalRuralDem
RadicalRuralDem

@AuntieChrist That cross sample is much whiter than the electorate will actually be (should be around 63% white), and much more R, too (which should tell us something).

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@Kamchak Not to mention, listen for the so-called centrist's head to explode any minute. He disparages the PPP polling at every turn, but it shows his boy kingston winning the runoff. Oh, what to do! it shows kingston winning next week, but losing in November. How will he claim it's biased/incorrect when it shows his guy in the lead. But, somehow some way, he'll find a way to 'prove' it is librul AJC bias.

Meanwhile we can just forget legitimate polling organizations because td has his own poll of isolated White people that shows conclusively that it will be a repuppy rout in November. How can anyone doubt that?

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@EdUktr By "our interest" you mean you and da centrist, right? BTW, posting it one time indicates an 'interest' in the poll. Posting it everyday, several times a day indicates obsession/compulsion, something psychiatrists call 'deviant' or 'abnormal' behavior.  Or, as most would call it, typical repuppy insanity.

DannyX
DannyX

@EdUktr, your "Michelle Nunn stalled at 43%-44%" nonsense is one of the most idiotic things I've read on this blog.  Exactly what I expect out of you!

DS
DS

@AuntieChrist, I think he's hoping that Democrats will lose heart over close polls, give up, and decide not to support their candidates or even vote.

Doesn't seem to be working.

td1234
td1234

@DannyX So you are predicting Nunn will win the Senate race? 

DannyX
DannyX

@td1234, where in the hell did I say that?

td1234
td1234

@DannyX It was a question and not a statement but now that you made your statement then I take it by your answer that you do not believe Nunn will win. 


AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@td1234  "I take it by your answer that you do not believe Nunn will win. "

And we'll take it that your obsessive proclivity to put words in other people's mouths indicates you're worried she will win.

td1234
td1234

@AuntieChrist @td1234 Nope. Not in the least bit worried that she will win. I have predicted that the Republican nominee will win between 5 to 10 points. 


It is all the progressives on these blogs that want to pump up the Democrats in Georgia but are to afraid to go on the record in predicting them to win.  

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@td1234  but are to(sic) afraid to go on the record in predicting them to win.  

Only a fool asserts with certainty who will win an athletic event or an election. Smart people will bet on neither. Being afraid has nothing to do with anything, but as often as you've had egg all over your face from such predictions, you're probably used to it by now.