Posted: 3:04 pm Monday, June 30th, 2014

Where U.S. Senate cash has come from — so far 

By Jim Galloway

At midnight tonight, the latest round of fundraising numbers in the U.S. Senate race will be set in stone. But it could be days before the toplines leak out — and weeks before we see a full summary of who gave to whom.

In the meantime, AJC staffer Nicholas Fouriezos has taken a look at each candidate’s Federal Election Commission filings from the last two years and created a state-by-state look at where the candidates are getting their money from. Note the similar numbers generated from Georgia contributions by both Republican Jack Kingston and Democrat Michelle Nunn. A summary:

Michelle Nunn: She has spent time fundraising all across the country, from the liberal stronghold of New York City to the sunny bastion of Los Angeles. Those trips have been fruitful, accounting for more than half of her total contributions.

From Fouriezos’ report:

Nunn raised $2.7 million in Georgia – and $3 million outside of it. She raised more than $400,000 in New York, California and Washington D.C. Neither of the other candidates had a single state, besides Georgia, give their campaign more than $400,000.

Take a look:

U.S. Rep. Jack Kingston, who has had the most success in-state:

The aspiring Republican nominee for Senate, who still has to win the July 22 runoff, raised $2.9 million in Georgia – the most of any candidate. That paired with a race-high 4,258 contributions in the state, for an average of almost $684 per donation.

To wit:

David Perdue, the frontrunner in the May 20 primary, has contributed $1.6 million from his personal coffers:

Perdue has broadcast himself as a Washington D.C. “outsider,” and his fundraising reflects that. He only received six contributions for a whopping $15,600 from the nation’s capital. That’s compared to almost $116,000 for Kingston and $668,000 for Nunn.

The details:

29 comments
Jke
Jke

Thanks for the correction on Nunn.  

AWA1
AWA1

Kingston's and Nunns in-state "grassroots support is roughly the same ... a mere 200 donors difference, and average donation is not that far apart, either - a difference of about $10 per donor more for Kingston.


Jke
Jke

td-you're correct. Kingston's numbers show a huge level of in-state grassroots support. Nunn's do not. Easy to start your own blog. Not so easy to start your own daily newspaper.

Enoch19
Enoch19

So If Nunn is so "moderate" why are the folks in New York and California trying so hard to buy themselves a senator?

Jke
Jke

Hypothetical query:

A large news media outlet researched a story on this very same topic. It specifically sought information that would show the strength of two candidates' grassroots support. It found that 45% of one candidate's contributors were in-state and gave $100 or less. The other candidate's support came from mostly wealthy out of state contributors. This finding showed strong in-state grassroots support for the first candidate, particularly when compared to very weak in-state grassroots support for the second candidate.

The media outlet decided to not include that data in its analysis or it's reporting.

If the media was Fox, what is your verdict? If it was the AJC, is your verdict different?

Jke
Jke

Hypothetical query:

A large news media outlet researched a story on this very same topic. It specifically sought information that would show the strength of two candidates grassroots support. It found that 45% of one candidate's contributions were in-state and were $100 or less and the other candidate's was a much smaller number. This finding showed a strong in-state grassroots support for that candidate, particularly when compared to very weak in-state grassroots support for the other candidate.

The media outlet decided to not include that data in its analysis or it's reporting.

If the media was Fox, what is your verdict? If it was the AJC, is your verdict different?

DS
DS

Here's an article from a newspaper in Jasper GA that covered Michelle Nunn's visit during her recent travels through North Georgia:

http://www.pickensprogressonline.com/2014/news/recent-stories-index/3101-nunn-name-still-draws-old-school-democrats

I especially liked this bit from the article:

Nunn said she had been on a multi-day driving trip around the state with her husband and kids. She allowed her kids to make use of the community center basketball courts while she spoke, saying that they had already heard her several times.

Now there's a reporter who knows how to breathe life into an article---I love it.

From there, the reporter went on to cover Nunn's remarks about who she is, what she believes in, what she's heard so far from other Georgians on her visits, and what she would do if elected---things every reader might like to know.

PoliticalOutsider
PoliticalOutsider

EdUloser:

Here is today's Rasmussen poll on generic Democrat vs Republican for Congress.

Monday, June 23, 2014

Democrats lead Republicans by two points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, June 22.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 38% would choose the Republican instead.

And here is the May 23 polling on Deal vs Carter:

Monday, May 26, 2014

Incumbent Republican Nathan Deal trails Democratic challenger Jason Carter by seven points in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the Georgia gubernatorial race.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Georgia Voters finds Carter with 48% support to Deal’s 41%. Three percent (3%) like another candidate in the race, while seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Georgia was conducted on May 21-22, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Rasmussen subscribers can log in to read the rest of this article.

BigHat
BigHat

I heard that Nunn has a black baby, just like John McCain.  Why isn't Fox News all over this?  

LHardingDawg
LHardingDawg

So the real outsider is Nunn who didn't go to school in Georgia and is not really from Georgia. Look at the outside money, more than the instate money. She is about as Georgian as Obama.


Plus, she looks like a Democrat.

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

Both Nunn and the GOP nominee will get considerably more from out of state for the general election.  But the GOP will get much more in the red state of GA, and overall.

 Large advantage for the Republicans.


EdUktr
EdUktr

And here's where the candidates stand with voters: 


Kingston 43%; Nunn 37% 

Perdue 43%; Nunn 38%

—June polling results from 11Alive News (WXIA-TV). http://tinyurl.com/ouq4e3d

AWA1
AWA1

@Jke  
Georgia Number of donors: Nunn 4067, Kingston 4258, Perdue 716.  

Georgia Donation Total: Nunn $,272,6242, Kingston, $2,912,076  Perdue: $1,177,243

Avg. donation in Georgia: Nunn $670  Kingston $ 684  Perdue $1644


Shows that grassroot support for Nunn and Kingston is pretty close, and that Perdue is self-funding.

td1234
td1234

@Enoch19 Because they know she will fall in line and vote for the Reis/Obama agenda 90% of the time. 

td1234
td1234

@Jke Well it appears from the information provided that Kingston has received more more from more in state donors than any of the other candidates. 


I guess those donors do not count as grass roots members for the Republican. 

td1234
td1234

@DS Nice quote but the more relevant quote was the local party member that said they could not find enough people to fill all the offices in the local party. 

PoliticalOutsider
PoliticalOutsider

Huffington Post only reprints polls. They don't conduct them. They are a news blog.

With Rasmussen, polling is ALL they do. Everyday' 365 a year. They are a Republican leaning, conservative organization with a track record for accuracy. They called the Louisiana Senate race correct last week when everybody else had the Tea Party candidate winning.

At the end of the day, the only poll that counts is the ballot box. So you can keep trotting out Matt Towery faux polls and you will have some serious crow the eat when Governor Carter and Senator Nunn are sworn in.

NWGAL
NWGAL

PoliticaOutsider, are there any major shifts in the polls?

Kamchak
Kamchak

@BigHat 

I heard that Nunn has a black baby...

I heard that I will win the Golden Boot award in this year's World Cup.

Kamchak
Kamchak

@LHardingDawg 

... and is not really from Georgia. 

She was really born in Perry Georgia, sport.

Lying makes the baby Jesus cry.

Why do you hate the baby Jesus?

Do you worship Satan instead?

PoliticalOutsider
PoliticalOutsider

Instead of posting that phony Matt Towery poll day after day, post a legitimate poll like Rassmussen which has Carter and Nunn ahead. Towery probably did the poll for Erick Cantor who had a 37 point lead, and ed, remind me again how that worked out for Cantor"

Kamchak
Kamchak

@EdUktr 

And here's where the candidates stand with voters: 

As of 24 days ago.

Just sayin'.

CherokeeCounty
CherokeeCounty

And of course, right now, no one is 'mostly winning" or 'losing', since the election isn't until November.

Semantics, I know, but words have meanings.

DS
DS

And Jack Kingston was born in Texas. Not that it really matters to me anyway.

td1234
td1234

@CherokeeCounty No but educated probabilities of what is going to happen based on past performances and current statistical analysis can give pretty good expectations for future elections. 


Based on those qualifications it is safe to say that the Republican candidate for Senate in Georgia and the current Governors has a better than 70% chance of being elected in November.