Posted: 3:39 pm Sunday, May 11th, 2014

What Barack Obama and Nathan Deal share: A 44% approval rating in Georgia 

By Jim Galloway

Forty-four percent. You can’t help but notice the coincidence.

President Barack Obama and Gov. Nathan Deal earned equally low approval ratings in this weekend’s Journal-Constitution poll. Not from the same Georgians, of course.

Click here for many, many more details from the survey. But the paired approval ratings may be among the more important, if only because they point to the November vulnerabilities of each party.

We have seen – are seeing now, in the current primary – Republicans demonize President Barack Obama. But a 44 percent approval rating also makes Deal ripe for a broad Democratic paintbrush after May 20.

One key difference: Voter disapproval of Obama stands at a racially charged 51 percent. Deal has turned off only 43 percent of the electorate.

Obama’s disapproval rating hits 90 percent among Republicans, 55 percent of independents. Seventy-five percent of white voters disapprove of his White House performance.

Contrariwise, those who give the president the thumbs up show the path forward for both Michelle Nunn and Jason Carter. Eight-six percent of African-Americans give him good marks. A plurality of younger voters, between the ages of 18 and 39, gave Obama their approval. Obama’s approval rating hits 68 percent in metro Atlanta.

Deal performs weaker among women and independents, earning an approval rating of 39 percent from each group. The Republican incumbent gets a nod from 50 percent of voters above the age of 65, earns the approval of 53 percent of those who want Obamacare to disappear, hits a 56 percent thumbs-up rating with white evangelical Protestants, and 55 percent with north Georgia voters.

But Deal tanks to a 33 percent approval rating in metro Atlanta.

One more number worth noting: 10 percent.

That’s roughly the amount of Republican support that Democrats Carter and Nunn are earning across the state. Whether that number is larger or smaller in October will tell us much about the chances of a Democratic comeback in Georgia.

39 comments
MikeSweet
MikeSweet

"Shocker" 86% of blacks still approve of Obama, despite RECORD UNEMPLOYMENT and RECORD POVERTY in the black community, under Obama.  Then again, Marion Barry was caught SMOKING CRACK ON VIDEO (while cozying up to a hooker, to boot), and he was re-elected as Mayor of DC.


Translation: Caught smoking crack?  Getting it on with a hooker?  All-time low unemployment and poverty rates?  No problem, if a black democrat politician is responsible, just be BLACK and DEMOCRAT, and the overwhelming majority of blacks will vote for that person.  Racism, pure and simple.

hamiltonAZ
hamiltonAZ

Characterizing as "Low" 44% approval ratings of elected officials by the populist Georgia electorate may be a little harsh. Most probably think those numbers look pretty good - for Georgia.


Georgia is, after all, a state that professes to hate government, but is swamped by the sheer number of independent governments - 159 counties and probably 600+ cities (and a new one created almost every year by the legislature).

Charles50
Charles50

You'd expect President Obama's numbers to be that low in Georgia.  Deal, on the other hand, better take note and find out what he can do to remain the Guvna.  

Vanbren5
Vanbren5

Republicans are tanking in Gwinnett maily due to demographic changes. If Nunn and Carter win Gwinnett county, GA will be Blue for a long time.

PSWallace
PSWallace

"One key difference: Voter disapproval of Obama stands at a racially charged 51 percent. Deal has turned off only 43 percent of the electorate."

Bias on writer's part, tacitly supported by his employers.

Derwin0
Derwin0

"Voter disapproval of Obama stands at a racially charged 51 percent"


Seriously?  The same people didn't like Clinton, and he was white.

And why if whites don't like Obama it's "racially charged", but if blacks don't like Deal it's not?


And was the Democrat primary 4 years ago "racially charged" when Thurbert Baker was defeated by Roy Barnes?


Maybe the 51% against Obama are against his policies, not his skin.

almmanduane75
almmanduane75

If you have held a political office before, you will not get my vote.


The 2 political names this article is about is enough proof that you need to not reelect any of these crooks.


Too late on Al Green in the WH.  At least, he'll be gone one day too.


Have a good day everyone.

Mr_B
Mr_B

At this point in his 2nd term, St Ronnie of the Raygun was only polling 43%. Which was a lot better than he deserved.

DS
DS

I've downloaded the poll report and looked it over closely. It's about the most unbiased, no-spin poll I've seen yet, in terms of how the questions are phrased and the sequence in which the questions are asked. The cross tabs are a gold mine of information, too.

The most interesting results to me are around the support for Deal. His supporters seem less enthusiastic about Deal than Jason Carter supporters about Carter. 

Deal is well liked in north Georgia, but his support is poor for an incumbent in most other areas, and downright awful in both metro Atlanta and southwest Georgia. (So that's why he announced that he'd build a life flight helicopter facility down there, heh?)

There's a surprising lack of awareness about the Stacey Kalberman trial. Almost half the respondents knew absolutely nothing about it. But those who did know about it are convinced that Deal was involved. Almost none of the respondents who knew about the trial believe that Deal was not involved, which has been his claim. Even staunch Republicans aren't buying his story. If more voters learn about this verdict, Deal's chances might go down the drain.

The election results will depend on turnout of informed voters, but Deal is vulnerable.

DixiesDew
DixiesDew

President Obama could greatly improve Jason Carter's election chances with an endorsement.









Of Nathan Deal.

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

Obama is a lame duck never to face the voters again, and Deal is going to be re-elected as Governor by a landslide.

Only the most partisan Democrats believe a liberally biased AJC poll.

Astropig
Astropig

"Deal tanks to a 33 percent approval rating in metro Atlanta."

That's pretty much the nub of the issue,isn't it? Inside the perimeter/outside the perimeter is the way we roll in Georgia.But the real statistic worth watching-  "Republican incumbent gets a nod from 50 percent of voters above the age of 65"... Those people are the most reliable voters out there (except for Democrats in the cemetery,of course) and they will pretty much decide things. Young people are pretty apathetic and disillusioned after watching Obama act like a crooked Chicago pol for 6 years.They have no real idea who Jason Carter really is.

Starik
Starik

It's about turnout, especially in the Metro areas.

Derwin0
Derwin0

@Vanbren5  Counties don't award their votes on an all or nothing basis, so the flipping of a county makes no difference.  Not while other counties keep growing.


Everyone talks about demographics favoring the Democrats, yet the Republicans continue to increase their Statewide share of the votes.

Derwin0
Derwin0

@DS  "Deal is well liked in north Georgia, but his support is poor for an incumbent in most other areas, and downright awful in both metro Atlanta and southwest Georgia"


Deal lost both of those areas last time, and still beat Barnes by over 10%.

DewieCheatem_n_Howe
DewieCheatem_n_Howe

@DixiesDew  

Considering the use of the President's last name as a pejorative in Republican ads playing up to the fringe you could be right. Though it doesn't make it right.  

The-Centrist
The-Centrist

"and Deal is going to be re-elected as Governor by a landslide."

As someone else said, turnout will be the key.  Let's hope that the folks running Deal's campaign are as delusional as Mr. Plagiarism, here.

(Although I doubt it....)

honested
honested

@The_Centrist  

So what is your plan for denying voters exhausted with the failure of conserrrrrrrrrrrrvaitsim the right to vote?

DannyX
DannyX

@The_Centrist, Real Clear Politics a right leaning website must be liberal now, they have the Governor's race as a toss-up.  They also just changed the Georgia Senate race to toss-up based on the new AJC poll.  Damn you partisan liberal media Real Clear!!!!!!  Damn you!!!

Charles50
Charles50

@Astropig  Poor thing.  You really are delusional aren't you.  Do you realize the role young people played in getting Obama elected TWICE?  Do you think that Jason Carter is not smart enough to tap into that resource here on the state level?  I know the Young Democrats are fired up about him.  

DewieCheatem_n_Howe
DewieCheatem_n_Howe

@Astropig  

But we do have a pretty good idea who Nathan Deal is at this point. 

The Republicans have dead people voting too. Zombie-like you might say.

NWGAL
NWGAL

The real crime is not voter fraud. It is low turnout.

AWA1
AWA1

@Derwin0 @DS Maybe so, but Deal also just come away from a near perfect flip-flop (The Russian judge gave him a 8.5! ) on healthcare cuts and changes that roiled a very vocal group - teachers. And let's remember it was the teachers who swarmed to Deal , thus taking down Roy Barnes.

Add to that the claims that he "cut state spending".  Hell, he had to. Any Governor would have had. We have a state law that requires a balanced budget, as any educated citizen in this state knows. So to make that claim, he's basically saying "at least I didn't break THIS law."


The Ethics Commission affair was the last straw for me. There is no way that Deal and his cronies were not involved in the machinations behind the scenes.

Charles50
Charles50

@The-Centrist  Or the Republican Party the night of the Presidential election--especially Karl Rove.

NWGAL
NWGAL

Oh oh oh. I'm going to be called a sock puppet next! Thanks for making me appear to be two liberals. I unfortunately can't vote twice.

NWGAL
NWGAL

Honested, buy them air conditioners?

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@NWGAL  I'm guessing we need Melowese Richardson to move to GA, she knows how to turn out the vote.

Derwin0
Derwin0

@AWA1 @Derwin0 @DS  No, the teachers swarmed to Sonny Purdue, helping Barnes to lose that race.  The teachers then swarmed to Mark Taylor after Sonny pissed them off, and then supported Barnes against Deal after Barnes make them many promises.  The teachers have very little influence in statewide elections, as they are not a cohesive group in this State.

Charles50
Charles50

@NWGAL  By law employers have to give you at least two hours to go vote.  Plus advance voting started last week.  I actually went to vote on Saturday.  There are no excuses.  

NWGAL
NWGAL

If you have kids, you do.

Derwin0
Derwin0

@NWGAL  Polls are open about 12 hours a day.  Most folks don't work that long in a day.

CherokeeCounty
CherokeeCounty

To quote the President - "What a dumba**!

(Ms. Richardson, I mean...)

Kamchak
Kamchak

@NWGAL  

Most folks work and waiting in line on election day doesn't help the wages.

That's not a bug, it's a feature.

NWGAL
NWGAL

If less than 20 percent of registered voters actually vote, then yes, the one fraudulent vote might actually be almost sort of important. But even so it is not likely to swing a election. Restricting early voting on the other hand always impacts the vote. Most folks work and waiting in line on election day doesn't help the wages.