Posted: 1:28 pm Friday, May 9th, 2014

AJC Poll: Carter in tight race with Deal, Nunn leading GOP Senate contenders 

By Greg Bluestein

An Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll that rolls out Saturday finds Democrats in an especially close race for the state’s top offices in November.

The poll has Gov. Nathan Deal three percentage points ahead of Democrat Jason Carter, and finds that the governor’s approval ratings have fallen firmly below the 50 percent threshold.

Michelle Nunn, the Democratic front-runner in the Senate race, has built leads against each of the five top GOP Senate contenders in a potential November matchup, though her lead against businessman David Perdue is particularly narrow.

The poll is good news to state Democrats trying to erode the Republican Party’s grip on the highest political offices. The party hopes that it can harness a rising number of minority voters and other newcomers to make inroads in November rather than waiting for future election cycles.

But it’s important to note that GOP candidates have yet to unleash the brunt of their considerable resources at Democratic rivals. Deal’s campaign has so far ignored Carter in its feel-good ad campaign, and Republican Senate candidates are busy battering each other ahead of the May 20 primary.

It found that Deal’s approval ratings have lodged at 44 percent, below the 50 percent threshold incumbents aim to reach, and his disapproval rating is at 43 percent. Deal is tracking at 46 percent to Carter’s 43 percent.

The poll doesn’t involve a horse race matchup for the GOP Senate race, as our editors determined we couldn’t get results with a low enough margin of error to be valuable. (We’ll have a deeper explanation from our bosses on that later.) The findings, though, provide a telling glimpse at the bigger prize – the November elections.

It was conducted by the pollster Abt SRBI Inc. and involves 1,012 registered voters and a margin of error of 4 percent.

You can already see the poll’s findings on Georgia’s gun rights expansion here. We’ll have the full poll results on our myajc.com website at noon Saturday, with details on how voters feel about the healthcare expansion, the ethics problems facing Deal and even former President Jimmy Carter’s approval ratings. We’ll also post crosstabs, graphics – the whole shebang.

Until then, stay tuned.

149 comments
JessicaAxelrod
JessicaAxelrod

Each year, between 561 and 1,176 Georgians die unnecessarily because  Gov. Deal refused to expand Medicare. 20,250 Georgia residents suffer unnecessary catastrophic medical expenses leading to bankruptcy, again solely at the hands of Gov. Deal.

Hospitals in states that expanded Medicare served 30% less uninsured patients. In states that did not expand Medicare, uninsured patients have increased almost 6%. This has caused hospitals to close all over the state while hospitals have thrived in expansion states like Kentucky and Arkansas.

Gov. Deal's argument was that avoiding these deaths, wrecked lives and lost jobs was "just too expensive". Every single study and real-life example has shown the exact opposite. He tends not to mention the over $1,500,000 in donations from special interest groups he accepted to deny Medicare expansion.


I'll still be living here in Georgia when time unravels ignorance. Georgia will have to turn blue before the Republican party reconstitutes and stands a chance of regaining former members like myself.


http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsa1202099#t=articleTop

Techfan
Techfan

Wait until the big GOP PAC money starts pouring in. Rove and the Kochs will swamp the Dems.

Hs2094
Hs2094

When are Nunn's commercials going to mention that she is a Democrat, supports Obamacare, will rubber-stamp Harry Reid's agenda, etc. That might affect those poll numbers.

TheBystander
TheBystander

Not buying the poll. No way Nunn wins the general election. Her Dad could not get elected in the current election

TheBystander
TheBystander

Gov. Deal needs to take a page out of Obama's book. When any scandal comes up just say "Dude, that was like two years ago".

DS
DS

I just read the poll results. The most surprising thing to me was that 48% of those polled had neither read nor heard about the Stacey Kalberman case, yet 58% agreed with the jury that Kalberman was forced out for investigating Deal, and 71% believe Deal was involved. Apparently some voters have heard enough about Deal's recurring ethics problems that they suspect he has dirt on his hands, and among those who actually followed the case, there's absolutely no doubt.

So I'm surprised that Deal's approval rating is as poor as it is, even though almost half the voters don't even know the details of his most recent ethics SNAFU. Where would he be if, say, 80% of voters knew?

PaddyO
PaddyO

if Deal receives less than 55% of the vote, I'll be stunned.  This poll indicates that polls can be manipulated - just like the oil futures market.

Eustis
Eustis

Deal for President.


He'll implement the economic program he used to eliminate his personal debt to eliminate the National debt.


And within his first couple of years in office, too.

The-Centrist
The-Centrist

"our Georgia flag"

"scum democrats"

"Dimocraps"

You can always count on the Republican TP crowd for reasoned opinions and debate, can't you....

Rhettbutler
Rhettbutler

AJC poll.....go figure....still in the laughing place for the democrats in the minority party since they changed our Georgia Flag....everybody  has a laughing place.....a laughing place ho ho ho......

zekeI
zekeI

NUNN & CARTER? What a laugh! Their names and the simple fact that they are scum democrats are reason enough to vote against them!!!!

dreluv
dreluv

It crazy how Georgia republican candidate running ads attacking Obamacare and President Obama but they have not mention anything about Georgia..Where is the tv ad about helping 600,000 poor Georgian who don't have Medicare insurance, where tv ad about failing education in Georgia.

DecaturDramaQueen
DecaturDramaQueen

"Republicans certainly are not perfect, but are more achievement oriented than the scandal-a-day Dimocraps( not misspelled)." Thanks for telling us that "Dimocraps" isn't a misspell, Loran. Duh.

Baumer_1
Baumer_1

So...4 people die in Benghazi, which is horrible. Unfortunately the 24 news cycle ends up having to be corrected regularly. And the GOP is up in arms pretending this is a conspiracy.

Where was the frustration when the US spent over 5000 American lives and $2 trillion on a war Based On lies?

I guess white conservatives get a pass.

loran-whatayagot
loran-whatayagot

Georgia is the best place to own anything; a home, a business, a plantation. It doesn't matter your race, ethnicity, country of origin, etc. Just look at the diversity in the region. People of all stripes want to be here. It's not a perfect place, but I'd rather live here than live in ultra  liberal New York City or bankrupt California. Republicans certainly are not perfect, but are more achievement oriented than the scandal-a-day Dimocraps( not misspelled). Have a prosperous day.

PaddyO
PaddyO

@The-Centrist as opposed to ignorant, gullilble BS artist liberal lemmings ?  lol

PaddyO
PaddyO

@Rhettbutler Roy Barnes DESTROYED  the Democratic party in GA;  but Obama would have done it a decade later.

PaddyO
PaddyO

@dreluv let them help themselves - they are NOT wards of the state, you POS liberal.

PaddyO
PaddyO

@Baumer_1 there is a conspiracy you BS artist liberal. Perhaps you are part of the unholy alliance that votes for liberal democrats

honested
honested

@Baumer_1  

Thanks!

Remember those who died in Iraq for no demonstrable reason.

Those who died in Afghanistan, because the administration at the time only knew how to make idle threats an foolish pronouncements.

Those who died in and after Katrina, because FEMA had been gutted to provide extra 'profit' for favored companies.

Those who will die, because they are avenging the family members we have tortured.

I grew up proud to be an American, only the wrong wing has ruined the illusion.

Baumer_1
Baumer_1

Fyi, liberal new York is the most prosperous city in the history of the world.

CuriousPrime
CuriousPrime

@loran-whatayagot  Eliminate the liberal agenda that Atlanta has promoted for the past 50-years, and you have the diversity and quality of life of LA...Lower Alabama.

PaddyO
PaddyO

@honested @The-Centrist GA?  TExas?    Liberals are so addicted to BS, they are now deluding themselves.  We'll see how accurate this BS is.  BTW, how many democrats are elected to statewide offices today?

PaddyO
PaddyO

@honested @Baumer_1 dude. you are a TERRIFIC BS artist.  Folks died in Katrina due to their own ineptitude AND the ineptitude of the DEMOCRAT Mayor and Governor; nice try though.  Keep lying to yourself - but, liberals do seem addicted to BS.

BuckheadBoy
BuckheadBoy

@honested @Baumer_1 No need to be disillusioned. Forces of ignorance just become more egregious but less relevant as they disappear into the abyss of history, and civilization always triumphs. 

PaddyO
PaddyO

@Baumer_1 tell me the cost of living in NYC; you can compare one residential property in each of the boros.

td1234
td1234

@CuriousPrime Thank God Atlanta is a city of only 500,000 and the other million residents of the state do not really care what the uninformed think or believe. 

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Kamchak 

td1234

Good night little buddy.

See you tomorrow. And I will have your comment about blogging in church.  

LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Hypo
Hypo

@Nobody_Knows @td1234  The suburbs are as big as they are because of the people that fled Atlanta in the late 70's. How long have you lived here? I'm a lifelong resident for the last 45 years. Atlanta is a hollowed out shell of the inner city businesses that it used to be. The urban loft residential repurposing would not be possible if those companies had not closed up decades ago. Only the last decade has seen the return of rapid growth inside the perimeter. Midtown started up in the late 80's with the IBM tower and later the BOA building. It has been slow but steady there. Do you remember the time when hookers openly walked the streets of Midtown and Buckhead? I do. It was eye opening to see it in 1986.

All of the growth then was in the suburbs. Drug gangs controlled the housing projects. Remember Down By Law? Techwood Homes, Capital Homes? The entire Fulton Industrial district was created to attract manufacturing to Atlanta... Have you seen the near 50% vacancy rate out there? Have you traveled through SouthWest Atlanta around East Point along Candler road and seen the Ghost Towns of abandoned apartment complexes? If you only stay in the nice areas of town you can get the impression that Atlanta is a bed of Roses. Some areas are as nice as any upscale area in the USA. There are many areas that have been left behind. 

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Kamchak  

td1234

Don't run son. I will be back tomorrow to remind you of that proof you asked for........ And the next day and the next day as well. 

Matthew 7: 7


Ask, and it shall be given you; seek, and ye shall find; knock, and it shall be opened unto you:

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Kamchak  

td1234 said on March 2, 2014

" And posting from Church is a crime? Con you not multi task? "



What else you need boy?

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Nobody_Knows 

All the proof you need LYING CHRISTIAN

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

td1234

The Blogging and Lying Baptist

td1234
td1234

@Kamchak  We know you got nothing so go on and play with yourself so that you can keep on believing you something special and relevant. . 


Just sayin, Sport 

td1234
td1234

@Nobody_Knows  Sad part is the guy gets right back on that stool the next night and actually believes he is the smartest most popular person in the bar. 

Kamchak
Kamchak

Looks like someone needs the "smelling sauce".

td1234
td1234

@Nobody_Knows You sound like that fat guy sitting at the end of the bar. The later the night gets and the louder he gets blowing harder and harder and when someone tells him how ignorant he is he gets off the stool and falls flat on his face and everyone in the bar laughs their butts off. 

td1234
td1234

@Nobody_Knows As Kammie poo says: You got proof are you just blowing hard tonight? 

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Nobody_Knows 

Just plain ole stupidity huh?

No excuses for you.  

At least you were more honest than when you told the blog about blogging during the service.

That was a funny tall tale for sure. 

LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

td1234
td1234

@Nobody_Knows Do not drink. When you have a great life then you do not have to place mind altering substances in your body to make yourself feel different than what is real.  

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Nobody_Knows 

td1234

You need to stop at 2 Zimas.  You really get crazy when you get the straw out and start sipping on the 3rd one 

Maybe stick to Shirley Temples. 

Kamchak
Kamchak

@Nobody_Knows

Guess those other 7.5  million don't count

A product of skewed polling. They don't exist.

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Nobody_Knows 

td1234

Haven't seen you and your clown act at Bookman's much.

Where you been?  

You haven't been missed much but you are good for cheap entertainment.  Pop in every so often to provide that comic relief you excel at. 

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @Nobody_Knows 

The suburbs are and have been the recipients of Atlanta pushing outwards for 40 years.

Spin all you like and show your bigotry and stupidity all you like.  

But the burbs didn't make Atlanta.  Atlanta made the burbs.

All else is spin but you keep flailing with your Barge bloomers on. 

LOLOLOLOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

td1234
td1234

@Nobody_Knows Yes, When Atlanta was controlled by Southern Conservative Whites that was the case. Now it is those very suburbs, controlled by southern conservative whites, that are holding up the city from becoming another Detroit. 

Kamchak
Kamchak

@td1234

 ...and the other million residents of the state...

Too funny!

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

@td1234 @CuriousPrime 

Atlanta is the engine that pumped jobs towards the bumpkin towns that are now suburbs not the other way around

End of story

honested
honested

@td1234 @CuriousPrime 

tiny dog,

Trust me, we don't care what the auslanders think either, we just hope they will stay out in the 'villes', scared and clutching their guns so they will soon shoot each other and free up the real estate for Civilized people.

Baumer_1
Baumer_1

Are you talking about the teatards...amen

SueEllenEwing
SueEllenEwing

@PaddyO @honested does name calling help you feel better?

PaddyO
PaddyO

@honested the fact is happened IS THE SCANDAL.  g-d, liberals are SUCH HYPOCRITICAL BS ARTISTS.

honested
honested

@DannyX  

Well the wrong wing tried to make that a 'scandal' shortly after it happened, but the facts prevented them.

Now they just look sad and silly.

Of course, having a sitting governor who would probably be arrested if he tried to run for Congress again, that would be a scandal in a Civilized state.

DannyX
DannyX

@Kamchak  

BENGHAZI!!!

Kamchak
Kamchak

Thanks for making loran's point.

And exactly what point is that?

DannyX
DannyX

There are no scandals here in Georgia involving Republicans!  Just ask Nathan Deal, our governor.


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