Posted: 9:36 am Thursday, March 27th, 2014

Another poll puts David Perdue at head of GOP pack for U.S. Senate 

By Jim Galloway, Greg Bluestein and Daniel Malloy

Yet another poll has placed former Dollar General CEO David Perdue at the head of a GOP pack of U.S. Senate candidates, underlining the value of ready money in a cash-strapped campaign.

The poll was commissioned by Channel 2 Action News and conducted March 23-24 by the GOP partnership of Landmark Communications and Rosetta Stone Communications. The survey measured 600 likely GOP primary voters, with an MOE of -/+ 4 percentage points. The raw numbers:

Your daily jolt on politics from the AJC's Political insider blog– Perdue, 21 percent;

– U.S. Reps. Jack Kingston and Paul Broun, 15 percent;

– U.S. Rep. Phil Gingrey, who once led the field in a Landmark/Rosetta poll, drops to 12.5 percent;

– and former secretary of state Karen Handel at 10 percent.

From the press release:

“It’s clear that Perdue’s strategic decision to invest in an early television media buy is paying off,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications, Inc. “His ads have had an impact on voters. In fact, the two candidates who have invested in television ads, Perdue and Kingston, have seen the largest increase in support among voters.”



“It is obvious that David Perdue has bought himself instant name identification with a massive statewide media blitz,” said John Garst, President of Rosetta Stone Communications, LLC. “His numbers are a steady 20% across all demographic and geographic lines. He has no obvious base of support among any one particular group.”

Translated, that last point from Garst means that Perdue’s support is wide, but may not be terribly deep. Look for more sharp turns ahead.

***

On Wednesday afternoon, Democrat Jason Carter appeared on MSNBC and was confronted with a question we haven’t heard him answer yet: How he feels the comeback of the Confederate battle emblem in Georgia in the form of a license plate:

Some analysts, including Emory University professor Drew Westen, had urged him to attack Republicans for backing the license plate. Carter, though, spoke more vaguely about the diversity of the state:

“One of the things that’s most fundamental to me about creating my campaign and about creating the future of Georgia is one that looks like the rest of Georgia. We have a serious dearth of representatives throughout our state that look like the multicultural, multiracial state that we are and that we will be in the future. We have to do what we can to be welcoming in that regard.”

When host Andrea Mitchell pressed Carter on whether the license plate sends the wrong signal, he demurred.

“I don’t frankly hear people talk about it that much at Georgia. I think it’s the kind of thing that folks talk about on national political things. But folks in Georgia have, in a lot of ways, moved past that from a racially charged standpoint. What we’re looking toward is the future.”

***

We got our first taste Wednesday of how Grandpa Carter will fit into his grandson’s race for governor. It was a fund-raising email that included this line from the former president:

We have a great opportunity in Georgia this November, and I know Jason is the candidate who will take Georgia’s leadership back from Republican Party extremists.

***
Over at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Geoffrey Skelley points out that the Democratic party’s long-term courting of young people has a short-term downside:

Since the first national exit poll was taken for a midterm election in 1978, only once (in that first survey) has the 18-to-29 age group made up a larger portion of a midterm electorate than voters who were 60 or older.

And not only have young people almost always been the smallest part of midterm electorates in this period, their participation has usually been much smaller compared to presidential years.

With Democrats more reliant on young voters to win elections, drop-off among that group could make it harder for Democrats to find success in midterm cycles.

***
This is the Tweet that has everyone talking this morning:

paultweet

On the other hand, we could point the good senator from Kentucky to Ecclesiastes 10:20:

Even in your thoughts, do not curse the king, nor in your bedroom curse the rich, for a bird of the air will carry your voice, or some winged creature tell the matter.

***
You can read more by clicking the link, but this may be the biggest reversal of the week. From the Associated Press:

Facing a firestorm of protest, the prominent Christian relief agency World Vision on Wednesday dropped a two-day-old policy that would have allowed the charity to hire Christians in same-sex marriages.

The aid group told supporters in a letter that the board had made a mistake and was returning to its policy requiring celibacy outside of marriage “and faithfulness within the Bible covenant of marriage between a man and a woman.”

“We have listened to you and want to say thank you and to humbly ask for your forgiveness,” the agency said in the letter, signed by World Vision president Richard Stearns and board chairman Jim Bere.

Based in Federal Way, Wash., and started by evangelicals, World Vision has an international operating budget of nearly $1 billion and conducts economic development and emergency relief projects. In a conference call with reporters, Stearns said World Vision had not consulted enough with its partners before announcing the initial policy change. Since Monday, Stearns said the board had heard from major evangelical groups and leaders who had told them they had strayed from their core beliefs.

***
Wednesday was internal polling spin day in the hypercompetitive Republican primary for U.S. Rep. Phil Gingrey’s 11th District seat.

The campaign of former state senator Barry Loudermilk started things off by releasing a campaign survey showing Loudermilk about tied with former congressman Bob Barr, both at 12 percent.

Tricia Pridemore checked in at 3.7 percent and Ed Lindsey at 2.7 percent. This, in the estimation of Loudermilk’s campaign manager, showed that the fellow who put him on salary is in a “prime position” to make the runoff.

The survey was conducted March 20-24 of 600 voters who were definitely or probably voting in the May 20 GOP primary, with a 4 percent margin of error.

Lindsey could not let those numbers stand, and a couple hours later produced his own campaign’s internal poll, conducted March 10-11. That tally showed Barr with 25 percent, Lindsey with 15 percent, Loudermilk with 13 percent and Pridemore with 4 percent.

Lindsey’s campaign said the numbers indicated the effort was “picking up steam” and he pointed out the pollster, McLaughlin and Associates, also has worked for Gov. Nathan Deal, Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle and Attorney General Sam Olens in the past.

Barr’s campaign made sure you recognized the common theme, sending out a press release saying: “Bob’s political opponents have verified what we have said all along — that Bob Barr is the front runner in this race.”

***
Let the Super PAC arms race continue: Emily’s List, the Washington-based group backing women who support abortion rights, has started a Super PAC entitled “Georgia Women Vote!” designed to back Michelle Nunn.

The PAC has not reported any contributions yet. The filing was first spotted by Bloomberg’s Greg Giroux:

“Georgia Women Vote will seek to educate women voters about the most pressing issues facing Georgia families in the 2014 election,” Marcy Stech, a spokeswoman for Emily’s List, said in an e-mail. Emily’s List has emphasized issues like equal pay.

28 comments
tpaine1
tpaine1

Jobs, jobs, jobs.  That's what the American people want and Perdue, obviously, knows how to do it.  Good for Georgia.  Good for the US.

pbrower2a1.
pbrower2a1.

Carter and Nunn have reasonable chances of winning in Georgia because the state is less right-wing (I refuse to use 'conservative' as a euphemism for inhuman, right-wing ideology for the same reason that I refuse to use 'liberal' as a euphemism for Bolshevism) than any former Confederate states other than Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina. What might not be too crazy to win in Mississippi or Alabama might fail in Georgia, which has a considerable heritage of support for moderate-to-conservative politicians.  

mrob
mrob

Way to go, Jason. A cool interview with nothing dangerously incited. A better look for Georgia with a youthful smile for a brighter future for all Georgians. 

There you have it folks, no "Wrong Deal" here!


"Red states are dangerous states with lawmakers equally dangerous to enact dangerous laws to drive home a point to exhibit conservatism'---mrob

honested
honested

What a campaign!

The leader in the second place party has nothing going for him but a family trucking company that is pressuring the state to follow through on destroying the Savannah River watershed so his other company can continue to hawk Chinese junk...... and of course a wall of cheesy commercials.


What a crew these seven dwarfs are.

Bernie31
Bernie31

My GAWD! what in de name of JAYSUS, is yer GOOBERS doin? Tried of those KNOW IT ALL DOCTORS? Always telling yer WHAT yer outta DO and then they help themselves and their Millionare Doctor Buddies. Nuthin fer YEW!


Remember when yer git in de mud with The PIG...remember, The Pig is There TOO!

td1234
td1234

Jason Carter. The state senator that wanted to turn the Hope Scholarship from one based on merit to just another entitlement program. He may want the uninformed voter to believe he is a moderate but in reality he is a far left progressive just like his grand daddy. 

Ralph-43
Ralph-43

David Perdue is a clear cut businessman with involvement in management.His ability to maintain focus and loyalty have to be questioned because of his short term experience at multiple companies moving from Sarah Lee to Haggar, Inc. to Reebok to Pillotex to Hillshire to Dollar General to Aquila Group and now Perdue Partners.Also, intermittently serving on Boards of Liquidity Services, Interstate Power and Light, Alliant Energy, Wisconsin Power and Light, Cardlytics, Easton Bell Sports, Graphic Packaging Holding, Iowa Power and Light, JoAnn Stores, and Pillowtex.In general, when I review a resume’, it makes me nervous to see such poor focus and persistence.Is he disliked or unable to work with people?I don’t think we want such a person representing us in Washington.He would appear to have little experience in the community, with healthcare, international affairs, social programs, community programs, etc.The focus appears to be on widespread personal profit making without regard for the stability of America or other citizens of the country.

Bernie31
Bernie31

Interesting Scam anotheron those "GOOD DOCTOR'S"whom no Longer practices  medicine Physician turned Politician because, it PAYS BETTER line of BS. A Medicaid Doctor who pretends he is NOT ONE.

Ralph-43
Ralph-43

Jason Carter - nice steady, even-handed interview and proposals.  So far, this candidate looks very convincing with leadership skills and a forthright nature that should be appealing to many - particularly after that embarrassing recent event known as the meeting of the legislature.  

notagain
notagain

Ga elects the most deceptive,and cunning,who appear in the repubs pack.(pack like in wolves etc,.

CherokeeCounty
CherokeeCounty

Jason did a good job, and will beat Governor Deal in the fall.

Sadly, a good politician never ever really says what he thinks, but keeps to his talking points.  He did that, and it will pay off for him. 

Michelle Nunn is of course following the same wise path, and will beat Paul Broun in the fall.

Chris30338
Chris30338

So this is basically saying that the "sanest" candidate is slightly ahead in the polls? There's plenty of time and I still have faith that the Republican voters here in Georgia will eventually put up the biggest idiot and most insane candidate to represent their Party to run against any Democrat and STILL win.

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

The open Senate seat polls are still premature.  Campaigning, especially TV and April/May debates won't give us a realistic polling picture for another month, and even then things will shift right down to the actual election.  Early voting will make prognostication fuzzy, too.  Little doubt there will be a runoff.


Good for Jason Carter to resist the liberal media into goading him to go far left.  At least Carter and Nunn seem to understand that Georgia Democrats will remain shut out of state wide offices until/unless they break with the far left DNC and liberal media.  They only lose some of the extreme voters who choose to stay home, but pick up more moderates.


Bob Barr has a shot at winning outright, and will probably win in runoff (just my prediction).

tpaine1
tpaine1

@pbrower2a1. the chances of Georgia - with the country being so disgusted with the lies of Obama and his minions - electing a Democrat are ZERO.  You heard it here first.

honested
honested

@td1234  

Does reality ever stop and visit between your ears?

Kamchak
Kamchak

...he is a far left progressive just like his grand daddy.

And there's the same sign.

pbrower2a1.
pbrower2a1.

@Ralph-43 Businessmen usually make poor politicians because profit-and-loss business is far narrower in its focus than is government. Businessmen can fire people who get in the way of their profit-driven agenda (which is right), but politicians cannot fire the opposition in government.

td1234
td1234

@Ralph-43  So instead we want another progressive community organizer to represent Georgia in DC. 

honested
honested

@notagain  

I seem to remember that is exactly how saxby fell into the seat a few years back.

NOlongerRepublican
NOlongerRepublican

@The_Centrist  If you were a REAL centrist you would know that the "liberal media" is just a fabrication of the far right. When you actually look and listen to what the media says and does you will realize that these days the media is controlled by one thing...profit. If you are Fox News that is the far right you entertain. If you are MSNBC you go for those on the left. CNN tries to maintain a balance and go for those in the middle. And you can't blast the AJC because you comment on The Insider or Jay Bookman because they also promote right wingers like Kyle. So your "liberal media" comments are just plain stupid.

Kamchak
Kamchak

...the far left DNC and liberal media.

And there's your sign.

td1234
td1234

@Kamchak  Sorry but that sign has been locked around your window licking neck for your entire life. 

CherokeeCounty
CherokeeCounty

Blah blah blah, td...:)

Seems like I've heard that one before from you....

don't be like the fake centrist and say the same thing with every post - you're smarter than that

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

@td1234 - That 70% Nate Silver prediction will probably rise if it comes down to Perdue and Kingston in a runoff - and when one of them becomes the nominee.  Flip side - it will probably drop if one of the others makes the runoff.

Kamchak
Kamchak

Melt-down

Just sayin'.

td1234
td1234

@The_Centrist @td1234  That is not what Silver said. He said the 70% included the possibility of Broun or Gingrey winning the nomination. If they were not running then it would be like Alabama and a 99% chance of the Republican winning. 

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