Posted: 9:56 am Thursday, March 20th, 2014

11Alive/Survey USA poll puts David Perdue atop GOP heap 

By Jim Galloway, Greg Bluestein and Daniel Malloy

021914 senate debate kdj09

David Perdue, a GOP candidate for U.S. Senate, at a recent forum. Kent D. Johnson, kdjohnson@ajc.com

11Alive has a new statewide poll out this morning that shows businessman David Perdue moving ahead of the pack on the Republican side of the U.S. Senate race, trailed by another establishment favorite, Jack Kingston.

Credit those crying baby ads.

The straight-up numbers: Perdue, 29 percent; Kingston, 19 percent; Phil Gingrey, 12 percent; Paul Broun, 11 percent; Karen Handel, 10 percent; and 15 percent undecided.

Your daily jolt on politics from the AJC's Political insider blogWith two months before the primary, Democrat Michelle Nunn is on the verge of winning her party’s nomination without a runoff, according to the automated SurveyUSA poll.

Straight-up numbers: Nunn, 48 percent; Todd Robinson, 14 percent; Steen Miles, 11 percent; and Branko “Dr. Rad” Radulovacki at 5 percent.

Republican incumbent Nathan Deal is pulling 65 percent of the GOP vote in his contest. Former Dalton Mayor David Pennington comes in at 11 percent and School Superintendent John Barge registers at 7 percent.

But break out the salt shakers, ladies and gentlemen.

First, the numbers: On the GOP side of this poll, 508 likely voters were contacted, with an MOE of +/-4.4%. On the Democratic side: 443 voters contacted, with an MOE of +/-4.8%.

Also, we’ve never seen a caveat like this in an automated poll:

Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

***

The above poll’s assessment of the U.S. Senate race in Georgia is contradicted by these sentences from famed political prognosticator Charlie Cook, who has changed his assessment of the contest:

“The open seat in Georgia moves to the Toss Up column from Lean Republican. Michelle Nunn is proving to be perhaps the best Democratic challenger of the cycle. Republicans, meanwhile, are mired in a crowded primary that seems destined to produce a run off. As a result, Republicans won’t have a nominee until late July. Moreover, this may be the one race where the threat of nominating a candidate who is generally unelectable in a statewide general election is very real.”

The Nunn campaign quickly issued a press release about the move, which also was run through the Republican spin machine.

Jack Kingston backer Eric Johnson declared on Twitter that it wouldn’t be a toss-up if his man is the nominee. Karen Handel’s campaign sent out a fundraising missive calling attention to the news and declaring that she was the strongest candidate against Nunn, and therefore deserving of whatever money you can spare.

Then the Georgia GOP got into the act, issuing a release attacking Nunn and dismissing the “Beltway Crowd.”

“Washington insiders can pontificate all they want but Georgia Republicans are ready to fight and won’t accept anything less than victory,” said the GAGOP’s Ryan Mahoney.

***

One of the biggest questions of Democrat Jason Carter’s campaign for governor is just how much he’ll use his famous grandfather for help. We arrive at a hint today.

The New York Post’s Page Six reports that the ex-president is headed to New York on Sunday to raise money for his grandson. Attendees include party insiders like Patricia Duff, Maurice Sonnenberg and REM singer Michael Stipe.

***

Speaking of Jason Carter: On Wednesday, we had an item noting that  state Reps. Tyrone Brooks of Atlanta and Hugh Floyd of Norcross, had supplied the two Democrats votes demanded to pass SR 415 with the necessary two-thirds majority. The measure puts a proposed constitutional amendment capping the state income tax on the November ballot — a sure draw for GOP voters.

State Democratic party chairman DuBose Porter wondered out loud whether the pair had “lost their dadgum minds.” But we neglected to point out that, on the other side of the Capitol, state Sen. Jason Carter and several other Democrats seemed to have lost their minds, too. Only 11 senators opposed it.

***

A curious Federal Election Committee filing popped up Wednesday night for the “Georgia Group Federal PAC.”

The political action committee was formed in January and through February had collected $26,000 in donations from folks such as lobbyist and former Saxby Chambliss aide Rob Leebern; Josh Belinfante, the former Sonny Perdue aide and vice chairman of the state ethics commission; and Marietta Daily Journal publisher Otis Brumby.

The PAC gave away $21,000, hedging its bets in a pair of heated contests.

The PAC gave $2,000 each to Bob Barr, Ed Lindsey, Tricia Pridemore and Barry Loudermilk, the major GOP contestants for the 11th Congressional district race.

The Senate race donations tell a more interesting GOP establishment story:  $2,000 to Karen Handel, David Perdue and Phil Gingrey; $5,000 to Jack Kingston — and not a dime to Paul Broun.

***

The $17 million in state bonds to expand a parking deck near the new $1.2 billion Falcons stadium has emerged as one of the biggest surprises tucked into the state budget. Gov. Nathan Deal said Wednesday it’s been in the works for months.

Deal said that the Georgia World Congress Center came to the governor’s office with an initial $35 million request that was rejected. Campus officials returned earlier this month with a broader argument for the deck, saying it could also be used for conventions, the College Football Hall of Fame and the hotel that’s envisioned.

Asked whether the state should be in the business of dreaming up hotels on government-owned land, Deal answered thusly:

“We’re in the business of providing what’s needed for our World Congress Center campus and this would all be a part. And they tell me that parking is not adequate right now. I think the need is justified. We believe this first step is a critical step.”

***

We told you last week that state Superintendent John Barge’s campaign is paying a popular Twitter feed to boost his GOP bid for governor. The folks over at zPolitics noted that other accounts are getting in the game, too, this time posting his #ThisIsOurState hashtag. Our favorite? A feed called @TheAsianHotties repeating Barge’s slogan.

***

The state Capitol is the battleground for a perpetual war between Georgia business and the state’s trial lawyers. But it’s been a bad year for the Chamber of Commerce crowd. On Tuesday, HB 643 – which would have laid down rules of discovery for electronic records in lawsuits — went down to defeat in the Senate after the chairman of the chamber’s judiciary committee, Josh McKoon, R-Columbus, spoke against it.

The bill had passed out of his committee.

In an interview with the Daily Report, House Committee Chairman Wendell Willard, R-Sandy Springs, said late changes doomed the bill:

[W]hen the bill went to the Senate, he said the Georgia Chamber of Commerce “overshot the runway in trying to make changes and didn’t recognize that the balance had to be maintained, otherwise the likelihood of the bill moving forward would deteriorate.”

“I was a little disturbed that the Chamber did not include me in the discussions it was having with the Senate to make changes,” Willard added.

The bill died on a 25-20 vote. Twenty-nine votes were needed to pass, but 11 senators went missing.

***

We don’t think that state Sen. Fran Millar, who’s city of Lakeside bill failed to gain traction with House Republican leaders this session, is of quite the same mind – but the senator has posted on his Facebook page a message from an angry constituent that begins thusly:

What a travesty – our Republican elected officials teaming with Democrats to kill the proposed City of Lakeside initiative. A very sad day for our state; I fear that the tide has turned and we are/will once again be led by self-centered, lobbyist-focused officials who’s priorities place the interests of our citizens a distant third (at best!) behind their own self-preservation and (seemingly) uncontrolled need to feed at the lobbyist trough. I am done with the republican party in Georgia.

***

That fight in the Senate over HB 707, the anti-Obamacare bill pushed through by tea partyers in highly diluted form on Tuesday, has already made its way into a GOP primary battle.

Michael Williams, one of three GOP challengers to state Sen. Jack Murphy, R-Cumming, has sent out this note to supporters:

In a shocking last minute procedural maneuver, State Senator Jack Murphy, a member of the powerful Senate Rules Committee, voted to table House Bill 707 – The Georgia Health Care Freedom and ACA Non-Compliance Act.  This bill would prohibit the implementation of the Affordable Care Act by any local municipality, State Agency or Political subdivision of the State of Georgia.

59 comments
Joeleejohnson
Joeleejohnson

At the feed store they say Broun gets their vote. The only poles there are standing up in a barrel out front.

Bill OrvisWhite
Bill OrvisWhite

LOL! Jimmah's grandkid putting on a common sense mask just to get votes! I love it. Folks, under that mask is just another shill for high taxes and more regulations. No state deserves  job killers in their governors' mansions like this Carter kid. So, why in the world would anyone want to vote for a member of the Democrat party and especially one who was indoctrinated with the grandpa's Marxist and anti-Semitic rantings? Good night! Amen, Bill 

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

As I was saying, Carter's have convenient convictions.


Jimmy Carter first ran for governor in 1966 as a moderate, losing to Lester Maddox. He wouldn’t make the same mistake twice. 

In 1970, Carter ran as the candidate of the ordinary guy, making not-so-subtle racial appeals to white conservative Georgians. In the Democratic primary, he denounced former Governor Carl Sanders as a crony of Atlanta liberals and chastised him for not inviting Alabama segregationist Governor George Wallace to Georgia.


http://www.todayingeorgiahistory.org/content/jimmy-carter-cover-time-magazine 

Ralph-43
Ralph-43

David Perdue is a clear cut businessman with involvement in management.His ability to maintain focus and loyalty have to be questioned because of his short term experience at multiple companies moving from Sarah Lee to Haggar, Inc. to Reebok to Pillotex to Hillshire to Dollar General to Aquila Group and now Perdue Partners.Also, intermittently serving on Boards of Liquidity Services, Interstate Power and Light, Alliant Energy, Wisconsin Power and Light, Cardlytics, Easton Bell Sports, Graphic Packaging Holding, Iowa Power and Light, JoAnn Stores, and Pillowtex. In general, when I review a resume’, it makes me nervous to see such poor focus and persistence.Is he disliked or unable to work with people?I don’t think we want such a person representing us in Washington.He would appear to have little experience in the community, with healthcare, international affairs, social programs, community programs, etc.The focus appears to be on widespread personal profit making without regard for the stability of America or other citizens of the country.

DewieCheatem_n_Howe
DewieCheatem_n_Howe

Way too early for polls to be meaningful. Time is better spent watching those decorating the poles at this point.

Bernie31
Bernie31

One must keep in mind that the majority of the Watchers and Followers of 11alive are Republican, White, Rural, High School Graduates and Live North Of Atlanta primarily. This does not include the vast majority of Georgia GOOBERS whose Educational Level is not as HIGH and thinking is far more backwards and socially demented.

uh..huh

Jke
Jke

The majority of Democrats in the General Assembly are in favor of a constitutional amendment allowing the voters to decide if they want to cap the income tax.  When it comes down to it, outside the issues of guns and abortion and one or two more, most of the folks over there are somewhere in the middle.  How nice.       

zekeI
zekeI

ANY Republican or true Conservative is far more acceptable than ANY left wing socialist liberal Democrat!

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

What was it two weeks ago, when all the proggies were all aflutter that Paul Broun was leading in a Democrat group's push poll that generated the results they wanted to achieve.  Proggies will fall for just about anything.


Jason Carter pretending to be fiscally responsible and voting for the tax cap.  He learned at the hands of his grandfather, do or say whatever you need to do to get elected, then do what you want.  Ole Jimmah ran as a segregationist and fooled the low info's into voting for him, and then had a big laugh.  Jason hasn't fallen far from the tree.



DS
DS

Interesting to read the level of support for expanding Medicaid in the SurveyUSA poll: 59% in favor, 32% opposed, 9% not sure. Almost 2-to-1 in favor. Wow. 

DontTread
DontTread

"The New York Post’s Page Six reports that the ex-president is headed to New York on Sunday to raise money for his grandson."


Let a Republican candidate raise money from out of state and we have the usual "carpetbagger" howling from the liberal peanut gallery.  When their candidate does it....crickets.


Jimmy doesn't have a prayer in hell of raising any substantial money here.  Maybe if he had actually put country before the Party and not wrecked the economy, things would be different.

petel
petel

Perdue and Kingston are the best of the bunch.  They are the only two who will not embarrass us in the Senate.

Nunn is by far the best candidate; however, she has only a long shot chance at best.

notagain
notagain

All the  X president hopes to do,Peddle his new book.

RoadScholar
RoadScholar

Didn't they put the new stadium next to two MARTA Stations? Why do they need additional parking lots? Oh that is right....ticket prices will be so high, in addition to seat licenses, that only corporate America are the only ones who can afford tickets!


" I am done with the republican party in Georgia."

So where are you going to go? Have another temper tantrum. The city hood issue in Lakeside, Briarcliff and in between needs to be hammered out by the citizens to agree on the city limits and then a financial viability study, once borders are agreed to!

EdUktr
EdUktr

Gee, John Barge at only 7% after all the effort the AJC made on his behalf? Maureen Downey especially must be depressed at the news.

td1234
td1234

@RafeHollister  Just go back and look at some of the moves Carter made in the Senate to see how far to the left he really is. 


Also, do not forget that it was his brother or cousin that came to Jason when he found the 47% comment and took it to Jason who sent it to Obama. 

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@RafeHollister So we have to take your word that he ran a segregationist campaign, because there was no internet way back then.  bless you little heart, I'd love to believe you, but I worked on the campaign here in ATL. It is where I first met Andrew Young, Hosea Williams, et al, none of whom would have supported a seggie. He quoted Bob Dylan's "Blowin in the Wind" in his campaign. So anyone paying attention knew he was not of the old south. If farmers in S. Ga wanted to read him that way, shame on them for not being better informed. Most of their support came  because he was one of them, not because they thought he would continue the old south. 

Lastly he didn't need to say anything to the white segregationists, because they regarded Sanders the way people try to paint Jason C and Nunn today, as tied to the Dem National Agenda. Sanders hitched his wagon to LBJ and the great society, while the state was turning gold-as in Goldwater. Sanders was a silk stocking lawyer, an LBJ liberal, and had the good ol boys out for his scalp. Carter had no need to address any of those issues, because he already had those votes sewn up.

No charge for the history lesson

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

@zekeI - Hmmm - to many of us, equally as bad.  I'll vote for (possibly moderate) Nunn before right wingers Broun and Handel.

honested
honested

@zekeI  

How so?

Maybe to another wrong-wing, backward-looking, knuckle-dragger but for those facing reality, not so much.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@RafeHollister Here is the link to Galloway post regarding the poll you cite, where "proggies were all aflutter."  You will see that the only ones 'all aflutter were you and the other cons like you, miltonman and td. The left's comments didn't give too much credence to the PPP poll, as you will see if you read the comments. http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/03/10/poll-shows-paul-broun-with-double-digit-lead-in-us-senate-race/


As for Carter running a 'segregationist campaign,' that is totally untrue. There was a 'scandal' about a picture of Carl Sanders embracing a Black Atlanta Hawk that was distributed by undisclosed sources, and never traced back to the Carter campaign. It was most likely distributed by friends of Marvin Griffin, who never forgave Sanders for beating Griffin in the '62 race, and cutting off their gravy train.

honested
honested

@RafeHollister  

Broun will be the gop place holder for the General Election, as well as the loser in that election.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@DS Or you could ask if they are in favor of building arthur blank a new stadium and parking deck, or expanding Medicaid.

td1234
td1234

@DS  Now ask the question in the true sense as: 


Are you in favor of raising your taxes to expand Medicaid or Are you in favor of cutting Education spending to expand medicaid and see what the answer will become. 

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

I have not ruled out Ms. Nunn, but calling an unknown political neophyte who has ducked campaigning and debates the "best candidate" is just partisanship.  

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

@EdUktr - I actually feel sorry for his classmate, supporter and poster here - td1234.  We kept hearing how Teachers were supposedly evenly split between Democrats and Republicans and that they would overwhelmingly support Barge.  We haven't even begun the heavy campaigning where Deal has an incumbency and money advantage. 

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@td1234 @RafeHollister So what is your complaint? He is to be demonized because he distributed a speech by Romney?  Is that now somehow a damnable offense, to tape a speech of an opponent and distribute it?

td1234
td1234

@The_Centrist @zekeI  Nunn is not a moderate. Her and Carter are far left Liberals like Obama. 


BTW: Barge is way more moderate than Deal so why are you not supporting him? 

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@AuntieChrist @RafeHollister  If you believe that Auntie, bless you little heart.  I grew up about 30 miles from Jimmy, I know what he said down south.  He said different things in different places.  There was no internet back then, folks said one thing back home and other things elsewhere.

td1234
td1234

@AuntieChrist @DS  


1: It is against the law to use the tax money to build the stadium for any other purpose. 


2: $17 million is a drop in the bucket compared to what is needed for education or to expand Medicaid. 

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@td1234 @DS Under deal and perdue, they cut several billion from the education budget, but my taxes weren't cut, so why would they have to raise taxes to increase the education budget. (We'll pretend to ignore the tax cuts and subsidies given to the corporations that were doled out while education was being slashed)

honested
honested

@td1234 @DS 

Civilized people realize both need to be done and only fools would pretend holding revenue at artificial levels forever was possible.

td1234
td1234

Nunn is as liberal as Obama and will not win the general election in Georgia this year. Whomever the Republican candidate is they will start running ads that Nunn supports the Obama agenda, Nunn supports Obamacare and the cut to Medicare advantage and she will tank after a few million in ads.   

td1234
td1234

@The_Centrist @EdUktr  We shall see my friends. This poll is "registered voters" and not likely voters. It also splits people by party and does not account for crossover voters. I think you gentlemen will be shocked at the outcome in May.Deal may win very well win but I do not think he will receive 65% of the vote.  

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

I have worked in the military, corporate world, and been a limited a partner in several instances.  I also have been the top decision maker and fully understand chains of command.  There is a time for input, and a time to say "Aye, aye sir".  Ongoing individual turf battles fired by personal ambition can not be tolerated.  

td1234
td1234

@The_Centrist  You my friend are wrong about Barge being a team player. He ran against RTTT but then when elected Deal wanted the money so he played ball, Deal then attempted to force HIS people into key managerial positions in his office. If I was elected by the people then I would not have allowed Deal to have that much authority in my office. Are you saying you would have succeeded your authority?   


I am not only for Barge but also against Deal. I think he is a just another Chris Christie and has a huge revenge streak. Look what he did to the DOL and Voc rehab because that elected official did the same thing as Barge did when Deal attempted to force him to take his appointees. Department of Ag has had similar retribution handed to it for the same.  

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

Nunn and Carter are at least pretending to be moderates.  Probably won't work even if they are.

Deal has done a better than average job - I'm pleasantly surprised since I only voted for him because I disliked Handel and Barnes.  Barge had too much ambition and refused to be a team player.  His missed federal deadline, and stand against charter schools finished him off for me.  His latest attacks that Ms. Downey has been posting have only added gas to the fire.  I won't EVER vote for him regardless of office he might attempt.  I think he will retire early or look for a private job.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@td1234 @AuntieChrist@DS Ask your savior john barge if he will turn down another $17M for his budget, or he will decline it because it is "only a drop in the bucket"

td1234
td1234

@honested @td1234 @AuntieChrist @DS  


Wrong, our budget is now at the same level as it was in 2007. The only expense that has risen is the cost of Medicaid in the state. Choices have to be made. 

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@honested @td1234@AuntieChrist@DS But you were happy that perdue cut your taxes, but just pained that he slashed the education budget. Did you expect he would just sprinkle pixie dust to make up for the money you received in your tax cut?

td1234
td1234

@AuntieChrist @td1234 @DS  It does not matter if you are in favor of raising taxes or not. The legislature will place the amendment on the ballot and it will pass. 


Now for reality, what is more important Medicaid or education? Choices have to be made.  

honested
honested

@td1234 @AuntieChrist@DS 

Really, I missed that.

Of course, that proves that cutting taxes CAUSED the problems and responsible legislator would vote to reinstate the necessary revenue to do the business of Governing.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@td1234 @AuntieChrist@DS So you are not in favor of raising taxes to increase the education budget, but you were fine with cutting taxes to decrease the education budget? And which of your taxes were cut under perdue?

honested
honested

@td1234 @honested@DS 

The Senate vote is meaningless until it is signed, passes a referendum and becomes effective AFTER the next budget is passed.

Closing 'loopholes' includes eliminating massive layers of special tax treatment to various industries. The Gooberstan Legislature apparently exists to protect those layers.

 

They are both important and a civilized populace is coming to realize the insanity of tax 'caps'.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@td1234 @honested@DS " The Democratic savior"

If he is voting to cap taxes, sounds like he's your savior. Oh, never mind I forgot, your savior is St John of the Barge.

td1234
td1234

@honested @td1234 @DS  The Democratic savior Jason Carter has agreed with Republicans to place a Constitutional Amendment on the ballot to cap state income taxes at 6%. 


You can cut every tax "loophole" out you want but it still will not pay for Education and the expansion of Medicaid. 


So again, which is more important Education or Medicaid. 

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@The_Centrist @td1234   Isn't it funny, that Dems always have to pull in their horns to get elected.  They know they will get few votes, if they are honest about their real agenda.

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

@td1234 - Nunn has made some references that there should be improvements in Obamacare, and broke with the administration over the Port issue.  No doubt she will have to run on a moderate platform or be landslided.  Whether enough voters (including me) believe any of her moderate stances may be the deciding factor - depending on who the Republicans choose.

P.S. Sorry for your shock at the latest polling for Barge.

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

@td1234 - The poll broke down to likely voters.  There simply can not be enough Democrats to crossover to even get Barge into a runoff.

Is Pennington your second choice?