Posted: 11:54 am Monday, March 10th, 2014

Poll shows Paul Broun with double-digit lead in GOP Senate race 

By Greg Bluestein

A poll released Monday conducted by left-leaning Public Policy Polling is showing some separation in the wide-open GOP contest to replace U.S. Sen. Saxby Chambliss.

The poll, commissioned by the lefty guerrilla group Better Georgia, has Rep. Paul Broun of Athens at 27 percent in the GOP contest. Rep. Phil Gingrey of Marietta is at 14 percent, Rep. Jack Kingston of Savannah is at 13 percent and businessman David Perdue is at 12 percent. Former Secretary of State Karen Handel notches 9 percent in the question, which involved only those who identified themselves as GOP primary voters. About a quarter were undecided.

(Candidates Art Gardner and Derrick Grayson weren’t included in the survey.)

It gets more interesting in head-to-head matchups with Democratic front-runner Michelle Nunn. Respondents had Nunn and Broun at a 38 percent deadlock, and Nunn with slight leads over Kingston, Handel and Gingrey. (A matchup between Nunn and Perdue was apparently not one of the questions.)

The poll involved 580 voters surveyed between March 5-6. Roughly half of the respondents said they generally vote in GOP primaries and 41 percent vote in Democratic contests. Some 49 percent favored Mitt Romney in 2012, compared to 43 percent who backed Barack Obama.

The five best-known GOP candidates are in a tight race to keep the Senate seats in Republicans hands. A loss to Nunn, the daughter of former U.S. Sen. Sam Nunn, would make it more difficult for the GOP to wrest control of the Senate from Democrats.

Pollsters asked about a few legislative items as well, including whether medical marijuana should be legally allowed for purchase with the approval of a doctor. About 70 percent of voters said yes, while 23 percent said no.

You can find the crosstabs below, but one of the more interesting tidbits: Nunn has leads between six percentage points to 10 percentage points among female voters in the head-to-head matchups.

57 comments
Michael2255
Michael2255

David Perdue is Mitt Romney down south.

midtown_girl
midtown_girl

Perdue is not an electable candidate. What's he going to say when asked how much inventory in dollar general stores is sourced outside of America? How many dollar general employees need public assistance? Where are those reebok shoes manufactured?

GOP needs to win this senate seat and careful consideration is required before casting a vote for the nomination. 

A win for Nunn is a vote for Harry Reid.

jayjay269
jayjay269

Broun voted in favor of the N.D.A.A. (Yes, that wonderful little program that authorizes the indefinite detention of American Citizens) as well as CISPA, you know, that silly little program that you "TEA Party" types wanted to blame on Obama... Always remember, Obama didn't do it all by himself, he had help from the left AND the right. 

JoeInFla
JoeInFla

Broun rocks, by far the best over these establishment types who would just continue the same ole same ole year after year, throwing the American people under the bus by shipping our jobs overseas and squandering our tax dollars. Go Paul Broun your getting a donation from me

MaryPolleys
MaryPolleys

I am not surprised that  the "lefty guerilla group" did not ask who would win between Nunn and David Perdue.  David Perdue has been leading the other Republicans in the 3 recent valid polls.  He is the candidate who will be able to defeat Michelle Nunn.

Stacey Hopkins
Stacey Hopkins

I received calls from folks in the  South Georgia area calls from folks of someone doing a poll (around the same time frame as this PPP poll) asking the caller which of the Democratic candidates they would they vote for, Nunn, Dr. Branko Radulovacki or Steen Miles.

I don't see that crosstab in this poll and it very well may not have been a PPP poll, but from the questions I'm seeing here and what was relayed to me, it sure sounds like it was a part of it.

Sure would like to hear the results of that..

SamuelK100
SamuelK100

Any poll result by PPP should be completely disregarded.  They are the same agency that had Todd Aiken polling ahead of Claire McAskill immediately after his infamous Legitimate Rape comment.  McAskill touted that poll, with tongue in cheek, to encourage Aiken to stay in the race.  The rest is history.

Also, I got a call from PPP a few years ago, and it was a complete push poll, denigrating the sitting Republican Congressmen.  As such, I pay no attention to anything PPP has to say.  The rest of America should do the same.

Joeleejohnson
Joeleejohnson

Dr. Brown is the favorite at the feed store/old men's social club. 'Cept one old geezer who thinks 'Gene is still governor.

BigHat
BigHat

All lies straight from the pit of H*ll

DS
DS

Look at the cross tab at the top of page 5, ideology vs. GOP candidate preference. According to this data, Broun is the preferred choice of people who consider themselves very liberal, by a wide margin! He also did pretty well among people who consider themselves very conservative.

Reading between the lines, it looks like some of his apparent support in this poll is from people who might want him to win the primary then lose the general election.

Kevin059
Kevin059

Democrats are going to be "Shellacked" again ....Hopefully by Tea Party conservatives !

anothercomment
anothercomment

Nunn is going to win and so is Jason Carter, with Deal not even making it out of the primaries. The Republicans can kiss a lot of down race elections gone as well. How many women are going to vote for an insurers cue commissioner who says too bad women have a pre- existing condition like breast cancer ( remember Republican women taped him, not the 47% waiter). Kemp tried to kick Professionals off of state boards. He can't efficiently process professional registrations. When people can't practice for a month or two they remember the name at the bottom of the license. Attorney General Olens he has been on the wrong side every time. just blowing our money.

Nobody_Knows
Nobody_Knows

Nunn is not going to win but it is hilarious reading the WTB comments from some of our right leaning bloggers. 

MiltonMan
MiltonMan

Michelle Nunn's slogan:  "You dont know me and probably do not like me but vote for me because of my daddy"

MiltonMan
MiltonMan

Jimmie boy and his love affair for PPP = hilarious.

PPP is the same moronc poll that had Roy Barnes winning re-election twice.

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

Going to have be a more reputable poll to convince me that Broun is leading by double digits.  Sounds like one of those "push" polls, where these leftist were hoping to push the low infos into doing their bidding.


How many of those polled even knew there was a Senate election this year?  


I am sure you have seen those people interviewed about what they thought of the recent death of FDR and did they have a message for Ellenor.  Everyone had a message of sympathy for her loss.  People are just so uninformed, it is just alarming, more evidence of Gov school futility. 

td1234
td1234

The biggest crosstabs to look at in a non-Presidential mid term election is the way the over 65 will vote because they will be over representative voters in the election. They have Borun up on Nunn at plus 9. This would be about the margin of victory for Bourn. 

EdUktr
EdUktr

In other words, the head-to-head matchups with Nunn show she's headed for defeat—no matter who the Republican is.

Bernie31
Bernie31

Georgia Republicans....Goobers R US are so easily FOOLED and MISLED. If any of them would take the time to truly LOOK at the personal History of Paul Broun,MD many would be SHOCKED and APPALLED at his personal and Professional Antics as well as Paul's Financial Dealings and not to exclude his relationship issues with his (2) Two ex Wives. There should be more than enough concern for any Conservative Family Value Republican Voter to not give Paul Broun a Chance to be a part of this Nations most deliberative body The U.S. Senate.  

Paul makes Newt LQQK like an ALTAR BOY!

uh..huh

ramblingbuzz
ramblingbuzz

Oh well,  I gave the voters in GA credit for having a little sense, but if these polling numbers hold up, I guess I was wrong.  Broun is the most self-serving, ecocentrical, say-anything-to-get-elected politician I have ever seen.  And that's saying a lot.  I can't figure out if he is as stupid as he appears, or if he thinks the electorate is totally moronic.

DirtyDawg
DirtyDawg

My first reaction was this news doesn't say a lot for the Republican electorate...then again, it actually says a ton...seems to me I recall this jerk having been, almost, out polled by Charles Darwin, so, surely, a BlueDog Dem with a great (Georgia) political legacy, ought to be able to bury the SOB.

JoeInFla
JoeInFla

Perdue just made a career ending wacky statement that only college educated people should be elected, I guess that leaves out Abraham Lincoln.

No thanks

JoeInFla
JoeInFla

PPP also predicted Ted Cruz would win the Texas GOP primary

JoeInFla
JoeInFla

Is that why he has the highest donations online from the 21-45 age bracket?

JoeInFla
JoeInFla

Nah, Broun is picking up alot of the libertarian vote, it's that simple

honested
honested

@DS  

You mean those of us who will cross over in huge numbers in May to make sure the ballot is correct in November?

Bernie31
Bernie31

@Kevin059 - That will NEVER happen again...The American People Now know NOT to make that mistake again by letting the TEA KOOKS inside the People's House. You are considered the Republican Party's STALKER Girlfriend who does not understand the word NO!

So We The People are going to have to do it for them...

uh...huh

td1234
td1234

@anothercomment It does not matter which Republican makes it out of the primary they will all use the same strategy and will win. 


Carter= Obama

Nunn= Obama


Both support Obamacare and will do the biding of Obama and Harry Reid. 


Game over at least a 5 to 10 point win for the Republican candidate.  

td1234
td1234

@Nobody_Knows  No Democrat will win a statewide race. If Democrats want to affect their representatives then they will have to vote in the Republican primary. 

DannyX
DannyX

@td1234, I just read the link you provided and you are misrepresenting the results.  That survey was based one single polling event, Obama vs Romney, in fact the race wasn't even over at the time.  Silver said "Public Policy Polling shows results that are about three percentage points more favorable to Mr. Obama than the consensus of surveys."  


Although PPP seemed to be skewed left the results of that one race prove otherwise, PPP nailed it. They were the most accurate pollster that year.  Proof is in the final results

EdUktr
EdUktr

@Bernie31  

Still unemployed and unemployable, Bernie? Does your wife know you're goofing off rather than looking for a job?

jayjay269
jayjay269

@JoeInFla  No, its because he voted for the N.D.A.A. and CISPA... the very same programs that you are blaming Obama for. 


jayjay269
jayjay269

@JoeInFla  Broun voted for the N.D.A.A. and CISPA... He is NOT picking up Libertarian votes. 

Andy123
Andy123

@Bernie31 @Kevin059

Bernie Mack, GA is a RED state ran by primariliy WHITE boys.  You will learn this one day!

uh...huh 

jayjay269
jayjay269

@td1234 @Nobody_Knows  Wanna talk about electability: When did you know, beyond a reasonable doubt that President Obama was going to win the 2012 General Election? 

td1234
td1234

@DannyX @td1234  Google Nate Silver VS PPP and you will find more than one incident where Silver has a problem with the way PPP collects its data over many polls. 

Bernie31
Bernie31

@BuckheadBoy @Bernie31- I was trying to give Paul a benefit of the Doubt but I stand corrected..Paul seems to be aa SERIAL WEDDING MAN Too..!

Paul has some relationship issues...apparently. One Thing fer sure President Obama has only (1) one Wife like most American Men. But THREE?  GEEZ!


(3)Three Marriages is even frowned upon by Christian Conservatives..even they know this is a serious Character Flaw that cannot be excused lightly. Is Paul from HOLLYWOOD?


He can't keep a promise to GOD, how can we Trust him?

Andy123
Andy123

@EdUktr @Bernie31

Bernie lives in his momma's basement and survives off SNAP, Section 8 and communicates with his Obama phone.   

Bernie31
Bernie31

@EdUktr @Bernie31- I am With Your Wife at her Oncologist Office, Because You are Not supportive enough to go with her. You would rather Look at Porn is what she says.

uh..huh

td1234
td1234

@Nobody_Knows @td1234  Just trying to get the state a real non politician\non attorney educator to lead us for the next 4 years. What is wrong with it?

Bernie31
Bernie31

@EdUktr @Bernie31- For Now Your Wife is Paying For services  You just do not measure UP TOO..Minute Man.

EdUktr
EdUktr

@Bernie31 @EdUktr  

You're always ghetto trash online, eh Bernie? But there's no connection between THAT and your being unemployable—right?

Trackbacks

  1. […] to see win the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open seat Senate race. And whaddya know, a new Public Policy Polling poll for progressive group Better Georgia shows him leading the pack, in a big jump from last August […]

  2. […] to see win the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open seat Senate race. And whaddya know, a new Public Policy Polling poll for progressive group Better Georgia shows him leading the pack, in a big jump from last August […]

  3. […] knuckle dragger Paul Broun) Boortz may have just had a massive coronary to go with it.    The latest poll shows huge momentum for Paul Broun in the Georgia US Senate […]

  4. […] to win in Georgia and called evolution a lie “straight from the pit of hell” — is leading his Republican primary challengers in a poll released Monday from the liberal-leaning Public Policy […]

  5. […] to win in Georgia and called evolution a lie “straight from the pit of hell” — is leading his Republican primary challengers in a poll released Monday from the liberal-leaning Public Policy […]

  6. […] Another PPP poll finds GOP Rep. Paul Broun leading Rep. Phil Gingrey in the Georgia GOP Senate primary by double digi…. Dems hope an outsized Tea Partyer such as Broun wins the nomination, making a surprise pickup […]

  7. […] 10, 2014 by Ed Kilgore Via the Atlanta Journal-Constitution‘s Greg Bluestein, we hear of a PPP survey conducted for Better Georgia, a liberal group, that shows Paul Broun, Jr., opening up a big lead in […]

  8. […] to see win the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open seat Senate race. And whaddya know, a new Public Policy Polling poll for progressive group Better Georgia shows him leading the pack, in a big jump from last August […]

  9. […] Public Policy Polling survey released Monday found Broun with 27 percent support among Republican primary voters. Rep. Phil Gingrey comes […]

  10. […] to see win the Republican nomination for Georgia’s open seat Senate race. And whaddya know, a new Public Policy Polling poll for progressive group Better Georgia shows him leading the pack, in a big jump from last August […]

  11. […] to win in Georgia and called evolution a lie “straight from the pit of hell” — is leading his Republican primary challengers in a poll released Monday from the liberal-leaning Public Policy […]

  12. […] PPP har målt det republikanske primærvalget for en demokratisk organisasjon, og finner kongressmann Paul […]

  13. […] Greg Bluestein, of the AJC, wrote in the Political Insider about a recent poll commissioned by Democratic third party Better Georgia from Public Policy Polling. […]

  14. […] Georgia: It’s a PPP (D) poll for a private liberal client, so apply the usual caveats. However, a poll of the GOP primary has Rep. Paul Broun in charge with 27%, followed by Rep. Phil Gingrey with 14%, Rep. Jack Kingston at 13%, businessman David Perdue at 12% and Secretary of State Karen Handel at 9%. General election numbers show Democratic candidate Michele Nunn leading most Republican challengers by single digits, but the challenge in Georgia for a Democrat is cracking north of 48% to win a general election, not boasting a plurality with double-digit undecideds. […]

  15. […] to run against Michelle Nunn. The most extreme of the five, U.S. Rep. Paul Broun, just pulled ahead in the last PPP poll. Broun would abolish the IRS, the EPA and the Department of Education, and wants the U.S. to pull […]

  16. […] Public Policy Polling survey released Monday found Broun with 27 percent support among Republican primary voters. Rep. Phil Gingrey comes […]

  17. […] more extreme conservatives (meet one of them) running to fill the open US Senate seat in Georgia are in the lead for the Republican primary, which could be good for Democrat Michelle Nunn.  Finally Gallup says […]

  18. […] GEORGIA CHRISTINE O’DONNELL GIFT–A new Public Policy Polling survey in Georgia finds batshit insane Rep. Paul Broun (R) leading the GOP Senate primary race with […]

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  23. […] conservative resentment,” a description that could apply to the whole campaign. One recent poll showed Rep. Paul Broun with a 13-point lead over his competitors; Broun is best known for saying, […]

  24. […] in a runoff between the top two finishers. Handel has lagged behind the GOP leaders according to recent […]

  25. […] in a runoff between the top two finishers. Handel has lagged behind the GOP leaders according to recent […]

  26. […] Broun, Jack Kingston and Phil Gingrey, among others. Some polling has shown Perdue leading, while other data have shown Broun at the head of the pack. But neither is nearing the 50 percent […]

  27. […] Right to Life-endorsed Representative Paul Broun holds a double-digit lead in the race for U.S. Senate over other GOP candidates who maintain exceptions for rape and incest […]

  28. […] Broun, Jack Kingston and Phil Gingrey, among others. Some polling has shown Perdue leading, while other data have shown Broun at the head of the pack. But neither is nearing the 50 percent […]