Posted: 2:35 pm Wednesday, January 29th, 2014

PPP poll: Michelle Nunn holds slight edge over GOP Senate foes 

By Daniel Malloy

WASHINGTON — Democrat Michelle Nunn is neck-and-neck with four top-tier Republican U.S. Senate candidates in hypothetical match-ups by Public Policy Polling.

The full results of the poll commissioned by liberal group Americans United for Change are here and put Nunn in the lead, but around the 3.9 percent margin for error. She leads Rep. Paul Broun, 42-41, Rep. Phil Gingrey, 45-41, former Secretary of State Karen Handel, 44-40, and Rep. Jack Kingston, 44-42.

The results are a small bump for Nunn from what PPP found in August, when Nunn was either tied or slightly ahead of the GOP field. The automated poll of 640 Georgians recorded an even split of Republicans and Democrats at 38 percent each, with 24 percent classifying themselves as Independent or other. Notably, the sample was 53 percent female.

The crosstabs show limited crossover appeal for Nunn at this point. She captures less than 10 percent of the Republican vote. But she has a stronger hold on Democrats than her potential foes do on GOP voters. The independent vote is close all around.

PPP, a Democratic-leaning outfit based in North Carolina, also polled Kentucky in the same survey, finding Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell with a 45-44 lead over Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes. Kentucky and Georgia are the only states where Democrats have any shot to take over a GOP Senate seat this year.

50 comments
DDavis0505
DDavis0505

In the AJC favorable/unfavorable poll, 51 percent of those polled either didn't have a favorable/unfavorable view or didn't know who Michele Nunn was.   She has the support of Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama, supports Obama care and actually believed that if you liked your insurance you could keep it.  She could win if Paul Broun or possibly Gingrey were to get the nomination but I don't believe Georgia Republicans will make that mistake. 

MaryElizabethSings
MaryElizabethSings

Michelle Nunn is still holding the lead.  This is good news in the state of Georgia.  I'm voting for Nunn.  Her father was an outstanding senator from Georgia, and his daughter will be just as outstanding. 

WoofyOne
WoofyOne

If you like Harry Reid you will love Michelle Nunn.

honested
honested

Just in time.

This poll will make the gop waste all their primary money at a faster rate (heck, they could give away two AR15's and an F-150 loaded with ammo) and nominate broun.

Such is the Georgia gop.

I look forward to a good todd aiken election in November no matter which of the seven dwarfs is on the ticket.

SaveAmericaFromItself
SaveAmericaFromItself

Unless Georgians outside the Atlanta perimeter are suddenly supportive of abortion on demand, same-sex marriage, gun control and higher taxes, Michelle Nunn and and Jason Carter will go down in flames, regardless of who they run against.

Jim Galloway, Jay Bookman and the AJC flower children have little clout statewide.

Keep your "progressive" agenda ITP.  


MiltonMan
MiltonMan

Two liberal polls have Nunn winning.  I am shcoked!  Thanks yet again Jimbo for your biased "reporting".  Nunn will get smoked in this state.  The con candidate just has to run ads with Nunn & Obama together & Nunn bragging about her support for ObamaCare.

Keep dreaming Jimbo & Jay.  The AJC would love, simply love, to have the two moonbats of Nunn & Carter win in this state.

tomkat1111
tomkat1111

She couldn't be any worse than the last two Governors we have had.

Kamchak
Kamchak

Sounds like she will win the State of Atlanta for sure

Atlanta is a State?

 First day of that brand new remedial geography class?

Just askin'.

Infraredguy
Infraredguy

Sounds like she will win the State of Atlanta for sure

The_Centrist
The_Centrist

Ha ha - Democratic poll shows a Democrat leading in a red state.

SlimDem
SlimDem

Could Nunn get so lucky to get Broun as an opponent? He's the Todd Akin of Georgia.

Acidic
Acidic

Guys, let's all remember that the Centrist is in the tropics, probably being fanned or massaged by some unfortunate soul.

Ralph-43
Ralph-43

Not only will the Centrist go berserk - what about CanBee, Enoch, Red Neck, Big Hat and all those other haters that fill up these blogs with their inflamed rhetoric?  We could have a mass suicide on our hands.

NOlongerRepublican
NOlongerRepublican

Let's hope that as the right-wingers keep coming up with crazy things to say and do the numbers will continue to trend in Nunn's favor. We need people in Washington that can work on both sides of the aisle to get things done. We don't need any more extremism and the aforementioned Repubs are all too extreme.  Unfortunately Nunn has an uphill battle because she is female and has a D next to her name. Those two things alone make it very difficult to get elected in Georgia, no matter how good you are.

CherokeeCounty
CherokeeCounty

Wow.

Post has been up for 40 minutes now - and 'centrist' hasn't popped in to whine about PPP being a liberal poll.

But I see Ed has shouldered the mantle.  Never mind that, as Danny says, PPP was the most accurate poll in 2012.

But it's okay - let the conned continue to live in their Fox News bubble - and we'll whip them yet again in November.

Kamchak
Kamchak

Skewed polling whine on the very first post.


Too funny!

Ralph-43
Ralph-43

Nice work Ms. Nunn.  Let the reactionaries try to explain this away.  Always good for a laugh - watching the clumsy, overweight, and mildly inebriated attempt to express themselves in southern 'English'.  I guess they took that advice about attempting to speak against the breakers with a mouth full of pebbles literally and to be permanent.    

RoadScholar
RoadScholar

Ed: Did you even bother to look at the poll link???? The split of Dems to Cons was equal 38/38 with the rest uncommitted to party.


What was more interesting was that 69% were over 46 and that 66% were white!

EdUktr
EdUktr

PPP is also well known as a Democrat outfit. 

Perhaps that's why its polling group is so improbably weighted with Democrats—in a state where Republicans hold the governorship and majorities in both legislative houses.

bryantm3
bryantm3

@WoofyOne i bet if paul broun ran with a 'D' behind his name you'd think he was as liberal as harry reid. michelle nunn is pretty obviously a moderate. 

Acidic
Acidic

I really like Harry Reid.  If you like Mitch McConnell, you're pathetic.

anothercomment
anothercomment

Women are in favor of abortion. They do not want to give up that right for themselves or for their daughters. When are you stupid men going to get why do teenage girls from upper middle class and above homes virtual have zero pregnancies in high school anymore. It is because mom or auntie or moms friend if mom is too much of a bible thumper has gone and bought the young lady plan B or taken her down to 14th street. We don't tell you men. We have the few hundred dollars, we do it for our daughter. We don't want her life and chances for success to get interrupted by a teenage pregnancy.

Is it not odd that only black and Hispanic girls get pregnant in HS. One of my daughters male friends got his girlfriend pregnant junior year. her parents were too religious to discuss things with. I offered to pick up plan b for them. But then the boy did. I also offered to take the girl down to 14th street if that did not work, and she could have a sleep over. My daughter offered several girls that her Mama was cool, and would help them if they had unrealistic parents they couldn't talk to. Now both these teens are sophomores at one at an SEC school the other at an in state school. They are no longer together. An unplanned pregnancy would have sentenced at least one to a life of poverty.

honested
honested

@SaveAmericaFromItselfMakes you glad that most Georgians live inside (or close to) the Perimeter doesn't it.


We've been suffering the damage caused by those elected from outside the Perimeter long enough.

RadicalRuralDem
RadicalRuralDem

@SaveAmericaFromItself You're forgetting about the southern ATL suburbs...and the Black Belt...and Athens...and Augusta...and Savannah...and Columbus...and Macon...and Albany...

Acidic
Acidic

Milton Man, don't bet the farm, little buddy.

Kamchak
Kamchak

@MiltonMan  

 Nunn will get smoked in this state. 


Bookmarked for later reference.

Just sayin'.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@The_Centrist Ha Ha. Real funny. Like Max Baucus, Tom Harkin, Claire McCaskill, Michael Bennett, Mark Udall.

DannyX
DannyX

@The_Centrist, you guys are so predictable!  This liberal conspiracy sure is strong.  Every single Georgia governor and senate poll released so far according to you has been from a liberal source. Where are the Republican unskewed polls?


Hold on, I think I found one!  The Tropics of Centrist Poll sponsored by unskewedpolls,com.

Broun 93% vs Nunn 5%

Gingrey 98% vs Nunn .5%

Kingston 118% vs Nunn 0%

Handle 92% vs Nunn 6%

honested
honested

@AcidicWhere is it that Lush Rimjob used to vacation in the winter, until he got caught?

Retired-Soldier
Retired-Soldier

@NOlongerRepublican Please give me an example of a democrat that works across the aisle besides the senator from West Virginia? Maybe Schumer or Warren or Boxer or Harkin et al. Yep a party full of aisle crossers. If the GOP if full of right wingers they are matched with an equal amount of left wing democrats.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@RoadScholar  Surely you don't expect a repuppy to examine actual facts, do you? That would contradict their prejudices and turn their bizarro world on it's ear.

DannyX
DannyX

@EdUktr, PPP absolutely nailed the 2012 elections, President, Senate and state elections Their results were the best out of all national pollsters.  Remember how Republicans were totally embarrassed with their foolish 'unskewed' polls nonsense?


The_Centrist, poor guy, is going to go berzerk after reading these results, thanks for posting them Daniel.

Retired-Soldier
Retired-Soldier

@anothercomment To think you have the in creditable nerve to deceive other parents and to think you have a higher moral authority is just simply sad....and very wrong. I notice you "chose" not to side on the behalf of the unborn child, beyond sad. Adoption would have solved all your concerns.

DannyX
DannyX

@Retired-Soldier, you forgot, Landrieu, Pryor, Hagan, Tester, Begich, Stabenow, Kaine,  Carper, and Heitkamp.

EdUktr
EdUktr

@DannyX @EdUktr I'm sure you'll keep hoping for that Democrat majority here in Georgia despite the reality of living in a red state.

Retired-Soldier
Retired-Soldier

@DannyX@EdUktr I agree PPP is usually a good poll, but this seems a bit odd. The closest to Nunn is Broun? The weakest is Handel? Common sense makes me believe something is a bit wrong there.

AuntieChrist
AuntieChrist

@DannyX@EdUktr   The_Centrist, poor guy, is going to go berzerk after reading these results.

Not to mentioned sorely p!ssed that edukateless beat him to his copyrighted "librul media" whine.
 

Retired-Soldier
Retired-Soldier

@DannyX And my point is complain about republican "extremism" when you are also ready to complain about democratic "extremism". Example, is Maxine Waters an extremist?

DannyX
DannyX

My point?  Democrats have way more than 1 Senator who reaches across the aisle.  NoLongerRepublican made the simple point that we need more Senators to reach across the aisle and you turned into some sort of contest.

JAWJA
JAWJA

@EdUktr @DannyX It happened in Virginia. And, the lack of planning for this storm isn't going to help Nathan. What happens when you fill all the positions with relatives from Gainesville.