Posted: 4:13 pm Thursday, January 9th, 2014

Poll gives Nathan Deal wide lead, but offers Democrats hope 

By Greg Bluestein

The AJC will release its own findings later this week, but a poll conducted for InsiderAdvantage and WAGA-TV found that Gov. Nathan Deal had a wide lead against Democratic state Sen. Jason Carter. Yet pollsters found reason to believe the contest could tighten by November.

nathan deal

Gov. Nathan Deal faces a heated re-election campaign against three rivals.

The poll logged Deal at 44 percent, Carter at 22 percent and the remaining 34 percent undecided. But pollster Matt Towery noted a gender gap between the candidates and a brewing fight over independent voters, half of whom are undecided. Carter also hasn’t aired TV ads yet, while a PAC linked to Deal funded spots for the incumbent last year.

The survey also concluded that the impact of the ongoing ethics allegations plaguing Deal’s office is “somewhat less than expected.” It found that 57 percent of voters surveyed were aware of the issues, 38 percent were unaware and 5 percent had no opinion. Of those who were unaware, pollsters said the brunt were black voters who would likely vote for Carter regardless.

Said Towery: “It appears, absent some knockout blow, that the stories related to Deal and ethics will not cost him reelection … With one cautionary note — that being that independent voters and females appear less aware of the stories and allegation and their vote could make the race a closer one in November.”

The Georgia GOP saw the poll results as a “clear rejection” of Carter. Spokesman Ryan Mahoney said “Sen. Carter’s ruse as a moderate isn’t fooling anyone.  Liberals lie but numbers don’t.”

***

In an interview with Creative Loafing published today, Carter said he would revive a push for a pair of legislative measures that would change the way state ethics commission members are appointed and fix the agency’s budget so it can’t be changed by lawmakers:

“I would hope we’d get a hearing on them and that we can move forward. I think they’re a good idea and thought that long before all the stuff with the ethics commission lately was going on. I filed those long ago, have been a leader on those issues, and would love to see a discussion.”

Carter also directed a few jabs toward the governor on education, suggesting that Deal’s push to increase school funding this year was nothing more than an election-year gambit:

“It’s going to be an education session. For some of us, it’ll be an education session like the others. For some people, it’ll be an education session because it’s an election year.”

9 comments
JAWJA
JAWJA

I remember how far off Insider Advantage was in the presidential election polls. I'll await  other polls. I think Jason Carter has a good chance of being our next governor.

RoadScholar
RoadScholar

ZIP/nada:

How much money do we have to spend to make a young, white male succeed with no father in the home? 


There, fixed it for ya! You do know there are more whites on welfare than blacks?

ZippyMorocco
ZippyMorocco

We have invested trillions on the War on Poverty and have roughly the same level of poverty as before. 

The only difference now is that our "poor" are fat, have cars, TV, and air conditioned homes. The War on Poverty destroyed the black family. I want a liberal to explain one thing to me. How much money do we have to spend to make a young, black male succeed with no father in the home? I think the tab is >$10T so far.


The failure of public education is well documented, yet we should spend more money. On what? Tell me how we overcome no father.

EdUktr
EdUktr

Good news for Georgia; BAD news for the partisan AJC.

notagain
notagain

Republicans greatly outnumber Democrats in GA.This makes me think more welfare assistance goes to th repugs.

BK37
BK37

It never ceases to amaze me how low information people think that people on any kind of welfare automatically means a vote for Democrats.  Some of you act like there aren't conservative voters out there on welfare.  


At any rate, I expect Deal to be re-elected because of 2 things:  The Democratic party not being very well organized, and GA voters going Republican, no matter how bad the candidate may be.

JerroldT
JerroldT

"Liberals lie but numbers don't"? Nasty! Uncalled for! Shameful! No need to be uncivilized, especially this early. Besides, numbers often do lie, dumbass.

BigTimeJacketFan
BigTimeJacketFan

All the democrats need is another 100K to 150K on food stamps and this state is in play.

Charles50
Charles50

@ZippyMorocco Well you certainly pulled out every friggin' stereotype available on that one.  You do realize that many of the "poor" are working class people with minimum wage jobs.  Or in some cases you have couples who still barely make enough to make ends meet.  No one wants to take into consideration the rising cost of gas, food, clothing, etc. over the past 10+ years.  As for a tv you can get one for under $100.  You can buy a jalopy for about $750.  And the majority of homes these days come with air conditioning.